Loading...
7.2. EDSR 06-17-2019 Request for Action To Item Number Economic Development Authority 7.2 Agenda Section Meeting Date Prepared by General Business June 17, 2019 Amanda Othoudt, EDD Item Description Reviewed by Director Report Cal Portner, City Administrator Reviewed by Action Requested Information presented for discussion to keep the EDA updated on development activity. Background/Discussion BUSINESS VISITS Completed eleven BR&E visits with more scheduled over the next few weeks. Please RSVP if you are able to attend. MISCELLANEOUS Anoka Technical College Foundation Board I was appointed to the Anoka Technical College Foundation Board this week, replacing Dan Weber of Sherburne County. Anoka Technical College Foundation was established in 1987 to provide support to deserving Anoka Technical College students and college programs. The foundation has provided more than $2,000,000 to support students and college programs. I sit on the Awards Committee. Each semester, the awards committee provides scholarships ranging from $500 to $2000 are awarded to students. The EDA, Sherburne County and The Elk River Chamber support this foundation through the Connect the Dots event, their major fundraising event each year. Economic Development Association of Minnesota (EDAM) Summer Conference Colleen and I attended EDAM’s annual conference. The EDA sponsored the keynote speaker, and I had the pleasure of introducing David Ollila, President and Chief Innovation Officer of Skypoint Ventures in Flint, Michigan. David is an entrepreneur, innovator and inventor, and holds 14 patents on everything from sporting goods to wearable technology. He provides his expertise and experience to help cultivate entrepreneurship and opportunity in Flint at Skypoint Ventures, 100K Ideas and the Ferris Wheel Innovation Center. Economy Overview and Buxton Retail Report I have included reports from Buxton Companies, and EMSI for your review. The reports outline the Sherburne County economy and retail leakage in Elk River. Revolving Loan Fund Balance Reports At the request of Commission, a copy of the Revolving Loan Fund report is attached. The Elk River Vision A welcoming community with revolutionary and spirited resourcefulness, exceptional service, and community engagement that encourages and inspires prosperity Financial Impact N/A Attachments  Revolving Loan Fund Report  Buxton Retail Analysis  Sherburne County Economy Overview ELK RIVER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY MICRO LOANS Current Current 6/13/19 Loan Loan Interest Term Monthly Principal Borrower Date Amount Rate (Months)Payment Outstanding Current Die Concepts 6/3/2016 $185,200 2.00%60 $936.90 $163,874.95 N Heritage Millwork 12/22/2016 $100,000 3.00%60 $965.61 $78,579.35 Y Patriot Converting 5/5/2016 $200,000 3.00%60 $3,593.74 $0.00 Y Ralphies#1 9/10/2013 $74,999 3.00%120 $724.20 $34,182.64 Y Ralphies#2 8/28/2018 $19,175 3.00%60 $343.65 $16,478.64 Y TOTAL MICRO LOANS $293,115.58 Micro Loan Fund 240 Distinctive Iron 3/3/2015 $126,000 2.03%60 $874.72 $91,502.14 Y Scott Morrell LLC 8/6/2015 $200,000 2.00%60 $1,011.77 167,544.60 Y Orluck 7/17/2018 $200,000 3.00%84 $2,642.66 178,330.73 Y $437,377.47 DEED Jobs Incentive Loan Fund 242 Fund Cash Balances 06/13/19: Micro Loan Fund - 240 $937,117.76 State DEED Jobs Incentive - 242 $74,876.26 Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis The Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis examines the quantitative aspect of the community's retail opportunities. It is a guide to understanding retail opportunities but it is not an analysis that indicates unconditional opportunities. The analysis is sometimes called "a gap analysis" or "a supply and demand analysis" and can aid in the following: - Indicating how well the retail needs of local residents are being met - Uncovering unmet demand and possible opportunities - Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of the local retail sector - Measuring the difference between estimated and potential retail sales Understanding Retail Leakage Retail leakage means that residents are spending more for products than local businesses capture. Retail sales leakage suggests that there is unmet demand in the trade area and that the community can support additional store space for that type of business. However, retail leakage does not necessarily translate into opportunity. For example, there could be a strong competitor in a neighboring community that dominates the market for that type of product or store. Understanding Retail Surplus A retail surplus means that the community's trade area is capturing the local market plus attracting non-local shoppers. A retail surplus does not necessarily mean that the community cannot support additional business. Many communities have developed strong clusters of stores that have broad geographic appeal. Examples of these types of retailers include: sporting goods stores, home furnishing stores, restaurants, and other specialty operations that become destination retailers and draw customers from outside the trade area. Examining the quantitative aspects (Leakage/Surplus) is only part of the evaluation of community's retail opportunities. Before any conclusions can be drawn about potential business expansion or recruitment opportunities, qualitative considerations such as trade area psychographics and buying habits must be analyzed in context of other market factors. Interpreting Leakage Index 1.0 = equilibrium, meaning that demand and sales in the area being analyzed are in balance. .80 = demand exceeds sales by 20%, meaning that consumers are leaving the area being analyzed. 1.2 = sales exceed demand by 20%, meaning that consumers are coming from outside the area being analyzed. All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Leakage/Surplus Index by Major Store Type The quantitative comparison of retail leakage and surplus in the twelve major store types shown in the chart and table below provides an initial measure of market opportunities. Combining this analysis with the knowledge of the local retail situation will take the process of identifying retail possibilities one step further. Figure 1 provides the leakage/surplus indices and following is the sales potential and estimated sales for major store types. Figure 1. Leakage/Surplus Index and Estimated and Potential Sales by Major Store Types Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Motor Vehicle Parts & Dealers 108,531,945 212,740,675 2.0 Furniture & Home Furnishing Stores 10,283,788 10,397,221 1.0 Electronics & Appliance Stores 9,816,675 3,117,623 0.3 Building Material, Garden Equip. & Supplies 37,467,760 80,830,318 2.2 Food & Beverage Stores 60,880,762 65,282,332 1.1 Health & Personal Care Stores 29,591,958 25,295,447 0.9 Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores 19,313,170 6,807,572 0.4 Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, & Music Stores 9,017,132 5,882,548 0.7 General Merchandise Stores 63,042,320 53,777,465 0.9 Miscellaneous Store Retailers 15,847,055 14,174,447 0.9 Foodservice & Drinking Places 54,882,394 55,467,712 1.0 Total 418,674,959 533,773,360 1.3 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Motor Vehicle Parts & Dealers Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Automotive Dealers 92,479,323 156,676,032 1.7 Other Motor Vehicle Dealers 7,846,243 46,386,762 5.9 Automotive Parts, Accessories, & Tire Stores 8,206,379 9,677,882 1.2 Total Motor Vehicle Parts & Dealers 108,531,945 212,740,675 2.0 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Furniture & Home Furnishing Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Furniture Stores 4,713,628 8,715,709 1.8 Home Furnishing Stores 5,570,160 1,681,513 0.3 Total Furniture & Home Furnishing Stores 10,283,788 10,397,221 1.0 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Electronics & Appliance Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Household appliance stores 1,207,439 1,865,510 1.5 Electronics Stores 8,609,236 1,252,112 0.1 Total Electronics & Appliance Stores 9,816,675 3,117,623 0.3 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Building Material, Garden Equip. & Supplies Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Home Centers 17,547,859 70,847,335 4.0 Paint and Wallpaper Stores 1,428,130 1,399,556 1.0 Hardware Stores 2,628,285 732,816 0.3 Other Building Material Dealers 10,189,371 3,592,761 0.4 Outdoor Power Equipment Stores 788,693 2,550,681 3.2 Nursery, Garden Center, & Farm Supply Stores 4,885,423 1,707,168 0.3 Total Building Material, Garden Equip. & Supplies 37,467,760 80,830,318 2.2 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Food & Beverage Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Supermarkets and Other Grocery (except Convenience) Stores 51,776,125 60,218,465 1.2 Convenience Stores 2,500,201 1,498,646 0.6 Specialty Food Stores 1,898,249 2,511,927 1.3 Beer, Wine, & Liquor Stores 4,706,186 1,053,294 0.2 Total Food & Beverage Stores 60,880,762 65,282,332 1.1 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Health & Personal Care Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Pharmacies and Drug Stores 24,276,473 10,968,593 0.5 Cosmetics, Beauty Supplies and Perfume Stores 1,858,716 1,080,296 0.6 Optical Goods Stores 1,416,600 4,263,718 3.0 Other Health and Personal Care Stores 2,040,170 8,982,840 4.4 Total Health & Personal Care Stores 29,591,958 25,295,447 0.9 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Mens Clothing Stores 613,317 0 0.0 Womens Clothing Stores 2,552,457 213,527 0.1 Childrens and Infants Clothing Stores 877,093 669,964 0.8 Family Clothing Stores 7,353,153 2,710,660 0.4 Clothing Accessories Stores 794,175 331,814 0.4 Other Clothing Stores 939,473 390,296 0.4 Shoe Stores 2,352,235 1,602,104 0.7 Jewelry Stores 3,573,797 857,269 0.2 Luggage & Leather Goods Stores 257,469 31,938 0.1 Total Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores 19,313,170 6,807,572 0.4 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, & Music Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Sporting Goods Stores 5,004,999 2,133,373 0.4 Hobby, Toy, and Game Stores 2,104,151 838,979 0.4 Sewing, Needlework, and Piece Goods Stores 391,278 2,651,570 6.8 Musical Instrument and Supplies Stores 432,964 66,152 0.2 Book Stores 801,964 163,351 0.2 News Dealers and Newsstands 281,776 29,122 0.1 Total Sporting Goods, Hobby, Book, & Music Stores 9,017,132 5,882,548 0.7 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of General Merchandise Stores Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Department Stores 13,018,586 26,707,906 2.1 Warehouse Clubs & Superstores 42,808,114 17,965,626 0.4 All Other General Merchandise Stores 7,215,619 9,103,933 1.3 Total General Merchandise Stores 63,042,320 53,777,465 0.9 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Miscellaneous Store Retailers Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Florists 653,384 1,682,939 2.6 Office Supplies and Stationery Stores 1,222,418 1,780,950 1.5 Gift, Novelty, and Souvenir Stores 1,498,393 566,128 0.4 Used Merchandise Stores 1,735,382 6,650,708 3.8 Other Miscellaneous Store Retailers 10,737,478 3,493,722 0.3 Total Miscellaneous Store Retailers 15,847,055 14,174,447 0.9 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sub-Categories of Foodservice & Drinking Places Store Type Potential Estimated Sales Surplus/Leakage Special Food Services 5,623,769 1,114,341 0.2 Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages)2,733,589 1,029,632 0.4 Restaurants and Other Eating Places 46,525,036 53,323,739 1.1 Total Foodservice & Drinking Places 54,882,394 55,467,712 1.0 All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Retail Leakage and Surplus Analysis Elk River Sources and Methodology The primary data sources used in the construction of the database include: - Current Year CAPE (Census Area Projections & Estimates) Consumer Expenditure Estimates - Census of Retail Trade, Merchandise Line Sales - Census Bureau Monthly Retail Trade The Census of Retail Trade presents a table known as the Merchandise Line summary, which relates approximately 120 merchandise lines (e.g. hardware) to each of the store types. For each merchandise line, the distribution of sales by store type can be computed, yielding a conversion table which apportions merchandise line sales by store type. The CAPE (Census Area Projections & Estimates) Consumer Expenditure database was re-computed to these merchandise lines by aggregating both whole and partial categories, yielding, at the block group level, a series of merchandise line estimates which are consistent with the CAPE Consumer Expenditure database. These two components were then combined in order to derive estimated potential by store type. The results were then compared to current retail trade statistics to ensure consistency and completeness. All estimates, projections or forecasts in this model are subject to errors, including statistical error, error due to the subjective nature of some data, error due to changes in demographics, error based on lagging competitor information or growth data, and error due to factors that are not included in the model. The user assumes all risk of reliance on this information. GROW WITH US.1-888-2BUXTON |buxton@buxtonco.com |www.buxtonco.com Economy Overview Sherburne County, MN Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com Economy Overview Takeaways As of 2018 the region's populaon increased by 6.1% since 2013, growing by 5,515. Populaon is expected to increase by 5.0% between 2018 and 2023, adding 4,781. From 2013 to 2018, jobs increased by 2.8% in Sherburne County, MN from 29,475 to 30,291. This change fell short of the naonal growth rate of 8.2% by 5.4%. As the number of jobs increased, the labor force parcipaon rate decreased from 70.6% to 69.7% between 2013 and 2018. Concerning educaonal a0ainment, 18.6% of Sherburne County, MN residents possess a Bachelor's Degree (the same as the naonal average), and 13.1% hold an Associate's Degree (5.0% above the naonal average). The top three industries in 2018 are Educaon and Hospitals (Local Government), Restaurants and Other Eang Places, and Local Government, Excluding Educaon and Hospitals. 2018 Labor Force Breakdown 95,588 30,291 $83.9K Populaon (2018) Total Regional Employment Median Household Income (2017) Populaon grew by 5,515 over the last 5 years and is projected to grow by 4,781 over the next 5 years. Jobs grew by 816 over the last 5 years and are projected to grow by 1,496 over the next 5 years. Median household income is $26.2K above the naonal median household income of $57.7K. Region 95,588 52,254 30,291 99.7 $3.22B $5.67B $3.37B State 5,610,460 3,089,804 3,175,267 102.0 $365.94B $255.75B $301.30B Naon 328,038,851 162,488,483 162,744,861 100.0 $20.15T $0 $8.59T Populaon (2018) Labor Force (2018) Jobs (2018) Cost of Living GRP Imports Exports Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com Populaon 95,588 Educaonal A=ainment Concerning educaonal a0ainment, 18.6% of Sherburne County, MN residents possess a Bachelor's Degree (the same as the naonal average), and 13.1% hold an Associate's Degree (5.0% above the naonal average). Populaon A Total Working Age Populaon 74,970 A Not in Labor Force (15+)22,716 A Labor Force 52,254 A Employed 50,329 A Unemployed 1,925 A Under 15 20,618 % of Populaon Populaon A Less Than 9th Grade 1.7% 1,034 A 9th Grade to 12th Grade 3.9% 2,438 A High School Diploma 29.0% 18,128 A Some College 26.4% 16,531 A Associate's Degree 13.1% 8,167 A Bachelor's Degree 18.6% 11,656 A Graduate Degree and Higher 7.3% 4,594 Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 Contents Economy Overview Historic & Projected Trends Populaon Characteriscs Industry Characteriscs Business Characteriscs Workforce Characteriscs Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 2 Historic & Projected Trends Populaon Trends As of 2018 the region's populaon increased by 6.1% since 2013, growing by 5,515. Populaon is expected to increase by 5.0% between 2018 and 2023, adding 4,781. 2013 90,073 2014 90,867 2015 91,377 2016 93,236 2017 94,570 2018 95,588 2019 96,716 2020 97,753 2021 98,703 2022 99,573 2023 100,369 Timeframe Populaon Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 3 Historic & Projected Trends - Cont. Job Trends From 2013 to 2018, jobs increased by 2.8% in Sherburne County, MN from 29,475 to 30,291. This change fell short of the naonal growth rate of 8.2% by 5.4%. 2013 29,475 2014 30,217 2015 30,014 2016 29,965 2017 29,970 2018 30,291 2019 30,770 2020 31,142 2021 31,441 2022 31,687 2023 31,787 Timeframe Jobs Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 4 Historic & Projected Trends - Cont. Labor Force Parcipaon Rate Trends 2014 69.86% 2015 69.66% 2016 70.04% 2017 69.81% January - October 2018 69.70% November 2018 69.24% December 2018 69.70% January 2019 68.97% Timeframe Labor Force Parcipaon Rate Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 5 Historic & Projected Trends - Cont. Unemployment Rate Trends Sherburne County, MN had a January 2019 unemployment rate of 5.39%, increasing from 4.54% 5 years before. 2014 4.54% 2015 3.99% 2016 4.06% 2017 3.73% January - October 2018 3.20% November 2018 2.34% December 2018 3.68% January 2019 5.39% Timeframe Unemployment Rate Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 6 Sherburne County, MN has 18,231 millennials (ages 20-34). The naonal average for an area this size is 19,587. Rerement risk is low in Sherburne County, MN. The naonal average for an area this size is 26,960 people 55 or older, while there are 21,755 here. Racial diversity is low in Sherburne County, MN. The naonal average for an area this size is 37,140 racially diverse people, while there are 8,049 here. Sherburne County, MN has 5,441 veterans. The naonal average for an area this size is 5,499. Sherburne County, MN has 0.67 violent crimes per 1,000 people. The naonal rate is 3.75 per 1,000 people. Sherburne County, MN has 12.06 property crimes per 1,000 people. The naonal rate is 24.21 per 1,000 people. Populaon Characteriscs 18,231 Millennials 21,755 Rering Soon 8,049 Racial Diversity 5,441 Veterans 0.67/1,000 Violent Crime 12.06/1,000 Property Crime Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 7 Where Talent Works Where Talent Lives Populaon Characteriscs - Cont. Place of Work vs Place of Residence Understanding where talent in Sherburne County, MN currently works compared to where talent lives can help you opmize site decisions. 55330 Elk River, MN (in Sherburne county)…14,842 55309 Big Lake, MN (in Sherburne county)…4,745 56304 Saint Cloud, MN (in Sherburne county)…4,368 55308 Becker, MN (in Sherburne county)…3,113 55398 Zimmerman, MN (in Sherburne county)…2,394 ZIP Name 2018 Employment 55330 Elk River, MN (in Sherburne county)…23,222 55309 Big Lake, MN (in Sherburne county)…12,223 55398 Zimmerman, MN (in Sherburne county)…9,521 56304 Saint Cloud, MN (in Sherburne county)…7,636 55308 Becker, MN (in Sherburne county)…5,533 ZIP Name 2018 Workers Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 8 Industry Characteriscs Largest Industries Industry Jobs Naonal Average 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extracon Informaon Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Educaonal Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreaon Management of Companies and Enterprises Finance and Insurance Ulies Professional, Scienfic, and Technical Services Wholesale Trade Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunng Administrave and Support and Waste Management and Remediaon Services Transportaon and Warehousing Other Services (except Public Administraon) Accommodaon and Food Services Construcon Retail Trade Health Care and Social Assistance Manufacturing Government Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 9 Industry Characteriscs - Cont. Top Growing Industries Industry Jobs Growth 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Professional, Scienfic, and Technical Services Educaonal Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Finance and Insurance Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunng Transportaon and Warehousing Management of Companies and Enterprises Other Services (except Public Administraon) Government Retail Trade Construcon Accommodaon and Food Services Manufacturing Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 10 Industry Characteriscs - Cont. Top Industry LQ Industry LQ 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 Informaon Professional, Scienfic, and Technical Services Finance and Insurance Educaonal Services Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extracon Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Administrave and Support and Waste Management and Remediaon Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreaon Wholesale Trade Management of Companies and Enterprises Accommodaon and Food Services Health Care and Social Assistance Government Transportaon and Warehousing Retail Trade Other Services (except Public Administraon) Construcon Manufacturing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunng Ulies Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 11 Industry Characteriscs - Cont. Top Industry GRP 2018 Gross Regional Product $0.000 $100.0M $200.0M $300.0M $400.0M $500.0M Educaonal Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreaon Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extracon Management of Companies and Enterprises Informaon Administrave and Support and Waste Management and Remediaon Services Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunng Other Services (except Public Administraon) Accommodaon and Food Services Professional, Scienfic, and Technical Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Finance and Insurance Transportaon and Warehousing Wholesale Trade Health Care and Social Assistance Retail Trade Construcon Government Ulies Manufacturing Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 12 Industry Characteriscs - Cont. Top Industry Earnings 2018 Earnings Per Worker $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 Accommodaon and Food Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreaon Other Services (except Public Administraon) Educaonal Services Administrave and Support and Waste Management and Remediaon Services Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunng Retail Trade Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Health Care and Social Assistance Professional, Scienfic, and Technical Services Informaon Transportaon and Warehousing Management of Companies and Enterprises Construcon Wholesale Trade Government Manufacturing Finance and Insurance Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extracon Ulies Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 13 Industry Characteriscs - Cont. Government 4,393 4,574 181 +4%1.00 $65,837 $332.89M Manufacturing 3,264 3,912 648 +20%1.64 $71,745 $545.30M Health Care and Social Assistance 4,931 3,806 -1,125 -23%0.99 $46,961 $208.02M Retail Trade 3,419 3,659 240 +7%1.19 $35,468 $243.25M Construcon 2,368 2,726 358 +15%1.62 $62,396 $247.59M Accommodaon and Food Services 1,914 2,286 372 +19%0.88 $17,397 $62.94M Other Services (except Public Administraon)1,690 1,867 177 +10%1.29 $21,569 $58.60M Transportaon and Warehousing 1,166 1,285 119 +10%1.18 $57,435 $111.06M Administrave and Support and Waste Management and Remediaon Services 1,218 1,060 -158 -13%0.56 $33,034 $53.22M Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunng 949 1,014 65 +7%2.85 $33,793 $53.68M Wholesale Trade 913 834 -79 -9%0.75 $65,799 $154.24M Professional, Scienfic, and Technical Services 672 677 5 +1%0.34 $52,296 $64.59M Ulies 740 643 -97 -13%6.17 $169,988 $427.85M Finance and Insurance 441 475 34 +8%0.39 $78,396 $102.32M Management of Companies and Enterprises 239 365 126 +53%0.84 $58,281 $23.93M Arts, Entertainment, and Recreaon 376 363 -13 -3%0.69 $18,111 $12.87M Educaonal Services 324 330 6 +2%0.43 $25,967 $11.05M Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 216 246 30 +14%0.48 $36,263 $71.34M Informaon 170 115 -55 -32%0.21 $53,919 $25.43M Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extracon 71 56 -15 -21%0.44 $86,975 $19.06M Industry 2013 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change in Jobs % Change in Jobs 2018 LQ 2018 Earnings Per Worker 2018 GRP Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 14 Business Characteriscs 4,943 Companies Employ Your Workers Online profiles for your workers menon 4,943 companies as employers, with the top 10 appearing below. In the last 12 months, 1,327 companies in Sherburne County, MN posted job posngs, with the top 10 appearing below. XCEL Energy Inc.78 Allina Health System 77 Isd Corporaon 65 Target Corporaon 64 Wells Fargo & Company 57 Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.49 Cargill, Incorporated 48 Fairview Health Services 45 Unitedhealth Group Incorporated 44 Accurate Home Care 39 Top Companies Profiles Elk River Area School District 204 Centracare Health 192 Atlas Staffing Inc 183 C.R. England, Inc.121 Teach For America, Inc.116 United Parcel Service, Inc.116 CRST Internaonal, Inc.106 Koch Trucking, Inc.104 LyM, Inc.101 Aerotek, Inc.97 Top Companies Posng Unique Posngs Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 15 Business Characteriscs - Cont. Business Size *Business Data by DatabaseUSA.com is third-party data provided by Emsi to its customers as a convenience, and Emsi does not endorse or warrant its accuracy or consistency with other published Emsi data. In most cases, the Business Count will not match total companies with profiles on the summary tab. Percentage Business Count A 1 to 4 employees 36.0% 915 A 5 to 9 employees 27.2% 692 A 10 to 19 employees 22.5% 573 A 20 to 49 employees 9.9% 253 A 50 to 99 employees 2.8% 70 A 100 to 249 employees 1.3% 34 A 250 to 499 employees 0.1% 3 A 500+ employees 0.1% 3 Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 16 Workforce Characteriscs Largest Occupaons Occupaon Jobs Naonal Average 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Legal Military-only Life, Physical, and Social Science Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Protecve Service Computer and Mathemacal Community and Social Service Architecture and Engineering Healthcare Support Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Business and Financial Operaons Installaon, Maintenance, and Repair Healthcare Praconers and Technical Personal Care and Service Educaon, Training, and Library Construcon and Extracon Management Transportaon and Material Moving Food Preparaon and Serving Related Producon Sales and Related Office and Administrave Support Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 17 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Top Growing Occupaons Occupaon Jobs Growth 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Community and Social Service Legal Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Protecve Service Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Architecture and Engineering Office and Administrave Support Educaon, Training, and Library Computer and Mathemacal Management Installaon, Maintenance, and Repair Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Sales and Related Business and Financial Operaons Transportaon and Material Moving Construcon and Extracon Producon Food Preparaon and Serving Related Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 18 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Top Occupaon LQ Occupaon LQ 0.00 1.00 Computer and Mathemacal Legal Protecve Service Life, Physical, and Social Science Business and Financial Operaons Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Office and Administrave Support Healthcare Praconers and Technical Community and Social Service Military-only Sales and Related Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Healthcare Support Architecture and Engineering Food Preparaon and Serving Related Installaon, Maintenance, and Repair Transportaon and Material Moving Educaon, Training, and Library Management Personal Care and Service Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Construcon and Extracon Producon Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 19 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Top Occupaon Earnings 2017 Median Hourly Earnings $0.00 $5.00 $10.00 $15.00 $20.00 $25.00 $30.00 Food Preparaon and Serving Related Personal Care and Service Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Sales and Related Healthcare Support Transportaon and Material Moving Military-only Office and Administrave Support Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Producon Protecve Service Community and Social Service Educaon, Training, and Library Installaon, Maintenance, and Repair Construcon and Extracon Business and Financial Operaons Life, Physical, and Social Science Healthcare Praconers and Technical Management Architecture and Engineering Legal Computer and Mathemacal Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 20 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Top Posted Occupaons Unique Average Monthly Posngs 0 100 200 300 400 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Legal Life, Physical, and Social Science Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Healthcare Support Construcon and Extracon Protecve Service Computer and Mathemacal Architecture and Engineering Business and Financial Operaons Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Community and Social Service Installaon, Maintenance, and Repair Management Personal Care and Service Food Preparaon and Serving Related Educaon, Training, and Library Producon Healthcare Praconers and Technical Office and Administrave Support Sales and Related Transportaon and Material Moving Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 21 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Underemployment Jobs Requiring Ed. Level Populaon at Ed. Level 0%10%20%30%40% Graduate Degree and Higher Bachelor's Degree Associate's Degree Some College, Non-Degree Award High School Diploma or Equivalent No Formal Educaon Required Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 22 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Office and Administrave Support 3,161 3,214 53 +2%0.73 $17.08 159 Sales and Related 2,718 2,817 99 +4%0.94 $12.86 254 Producon 2,471 2,737 266 +11%1.54 $18.39 137 Food Preparaon and Serving Related 2,242 2,558 316 +14%1.01 $10.52 103 Transportaon and Material Moving 2,164 2,306 142 +7%1.12 $16.83 486 Management 2,068 2,152 84 +4%1.26 $32.99 77 Construcon and Extracon 1,858 2,112 254 +14%1.52 $22.41 33 Educaon, Training, and Library 1,882 1,948 66 +4%1.13 $21.24 124 Personal Care and Service 2,132 1,783 -349 -16%1.37 $10.94 83 Healthcare Praconers and Technical 1,585 1,433 -152 -10%0.85 $32.03 151 Installaon, Maintenance, and Repair 1,120 1,216 96 +9%1.03 $21.44 58 Business and Financial Operaons 964 1,102 138 +14%0.70 $28.84 34 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 1,050 1,068 18 +2%0.96 $11.74 29 Healthcare Support 1,293 807 -486 -38%0.98 $14.99 30 Architecture and Engineering 455 505 50 +11%0.98 $33.07 33 Community and Social Service 451 455 4 +1%0.91 $20.69 41 Computer and Mathemacal 362 443 81 +22%0.51 $34.71 33 Protecve Service 410 432 22 +5%0.64 $20.30 33 Occupaon 2013 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change in Jobs % Change in Jobs 2018 LQ 2017 Median Hourly Earnings May 2018 - Apr 2019 Unique Average Monthly Posngs Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 23 Workforce Characteriscs - Cont. Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 374 398 24 +6%0.71 $17.34 38 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 236 335 99 +42%1.48 $12.14 4 Life, Physical, and Social Science 186 171 -15 -8%0.69 $30.04 17 Military-only 171 171 0 0% 0.92 $16.91 0 Legal 124 129 5 +4%0.52 $34.07 6 Occupaon 2013 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change in Jobs % Change in Jobs 2018 LQ 2017 Median Hourly Earnings May 2018 - Apr 2019 Unique Average Monthly Posngs Economy Overview Emsi Q2 2019 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com 24