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7.2. HRSR 06-01-2020 �� Request for Action Elk - River To Item Number Housing and Redevelopment Authority 7.2 Agenda Section Meeting Date Prepared by General Business June 1, 2020 Amanda Othoudt,EDD Item Description Reviewed by Hillside Heights Apartments—Letter of Support Cal Portner, City Administrator Reviewed by Action Requested Approve or deny,by motion,a resolution of support to for the proposed use of tax increment financing for Hillside Heights Apartments. Background/Discussion Community Housing Development Corporation (CHDC) proposes to develop a three-story new construction affordable apartment building on the southeast corner of Twin Lakes Road NW and 175"'Avenue NW. The building will consist of approximately 55 units with 13 one-bedroom units, 28 two-bedroom units, 14 three- bedroom units and approximately 60 parking spaces. Common amenities proposed include storage, a roof deck, fitness/physical therapy room,library, community room,patio area,ball court,playground, and community garden. At their May 26, 2020, meeting,the Joint Finance Committee reviewed a Housing TIF application for Hillside Heights Apartments. The developer requested$450,000 for land acquisition and$330,000 for site improvements for a total of$780,000, or 4.6% of the total project cost of$16,908,377. The developer is proposing apay-asyougo method for eligible costs as reimbursement. To qualify as a Housing TIF District, at least 20% of the units would be occupied by persons or families with incomes no greater than 50% of county median income or at least 40% of the units would be occupied by persons or families with incomes no greater than 60% of county median income for the duration of the district. Per city policy, the total estimated gross increment available is $1,818,810 ($121,254 annually) over 15 years, the maximum term allowed. Following policy guidelines,the developer may be eligible to receive up to 90% of the gross tax increment over 15 years. The estimated total net (90%) amount of tax increment over the 15-year maximum period would be $1,636,935 ($109,129 annually). The estimated present value of the net tax increment is projected to be $1,125,475 assuming 4%interest and would exceed the developer's request. Current estimates indicate it may take only 10 years to meet the developer's full requested amount assuming a 4%interest rate. The Elk River Vision A n elcoming community n ith revolutionary and spirited resourcefulness, exceptional p D W E H E D D Y service, and community engagement that encourages and inspires prosperity /` UR At their May 26, 2020, meeting,the Joint Finance Committee made a recommendation to the Housing and Redevelopment Authority to consider a letter of support for the project through tax increment financing, subject to the applicant receiving an allocation of tax credits and there being a continued demonstrated need for the additional 55 new affordable housing units in the amount of$780,000 plus interest over a period of up to 15 years. The applicant has also indicated that they intend to apply for $11,958,804 in Low Income Housing Tax Credits (LIHTC) from the MN Housing Finance Authority which requires a resolution of support from the HRA and City Council. The applicant requested the HRA to approve a resolution of support for their project,Low Income Housing Tax Credit application and the TIF application. The resolution does not approve the project or the TIF application and the city will not be required to approve future land use applications for the site should the HRA adopt the resolution. However,high density uses are a permitted use on this site and a future site plan application, consistent with all standards in the ordinance, would not require Council review or a public hearing. The letter of support will allow CHDC to apply to MN Housing Finance Authority for Low Income Housing Tax Credits to assist with financing their project. Provided CHDC's application is approved by MN Housing Finance, the letter provides support from the city for CHDC to move forward with their Housing TIF request provided there is still a need for the additional 55 new affordable housing units. Financial Impact Per city policy, the total estimated gross increment available over 15 years for housing projects is $1,818,810. The developer could receive 90% of the gross increment over 15 years of$1,636,935 or a present value of $1,125,475. However, based on the developer's application and request for assistance,it may only take up to 10 years to meet the full requested amount. Subject to project eligibility,it is at the city's discretion to capture the remaining 11-16 years of estimated surplus increment from this project to assist in future housing projects. Attachments ■ JFC Meeting Packet ■ Draft Resolution of Support ■ Draft Letter of Support 1 Dan Tveite Statement and Determination, as President of the The Economic Development Authority for the City of Elk River Minnesota Regarding Conducting Meetings by Telephone or Other Electronic Means As President of the The Economic Development Authority for the City of Elk River Minnesota (the “EDA”), Minnesota, I find as follows: a. The spread of COVID-19 in the United States and Minnesota has raised serious public health concerns and resulted in a great deal of uncertainty. Much remains unknown about the virus and how it spreads. b. On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization determined that the COVID-19 outbreak constitutes a pandemic. On March 13, 2020, President Trump declared a national state of emergency as a result of the pandemic. c. On March 13, 2020, Governor Tim Walz issued Emergency Executive Order 20-01 declaring a state of peacetime emergency to address the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota. The Governor’s Executive Order triggered activation of the County’s emergency management plan and enabled the County to exercise its emergency powers. d. Mayor John Dietz of the City of Elk River, Minnesota declared a local emergency due to the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota. e. On March 26, 2020, City Administrator Cal Portner declared that until further notice, or until such time as the State of Minnesota determines to no longer be in a state of emergency, all meetings of the EDA governed by Minnesota Statute, Section 13D shall be conducted by telephone or other electronic means. f. Minnesota Statutes, Section 13D.021 authorizes cities and other public bodies to meet by telephone or other electronic means if the presiding officer, chief legal counsel, or chief administrative officer determines that meeting in person or by interactive television is not practical or prudent because of a health pandemic or an emergency has been declared. I have consulted with the EDA’s chief legal counsel and chief administrative officer. Based on the above findings, I determine as follows: 1. In accordance with the declarations of the Mayor and the City Administrator, until further notice, all meetings of the EDA may be conducted by telephone or other electronic means in a manner satisfying the requirements in Minnesota Statutes, Section 13D.021 and the declarations of the Mayor and the City Administrator. 2. As is practical and feasible, the EDA will provide notice of how the public may listen to or view meetings as they are being conducted, and the EDA will continue to make recordings of its meetings available to the public. 3. All votes occurring at meetings in which all or some of the members are participating by telephone or electronic means will be conducted by roll call. Meeting of the Joint Finance Committee AGENDA Tuesday, May 26, 2020 7:30 a.m. Elk River City Hall Virtual 1. CALL MEETING TO ORDER 2. CONSIDER AGENDA 3. CONSENT AGENDA Considered to be routine and noncontroversial by the Economic Development Finance Committee and will be approved by one motion. There will be no separate discussion of these items unless a Committee member, staff member, or citizen so requests, in which case the item will be removed from the consent agenda and considered under the regular agenda. 3.1 August 27, 2019, Minutes 3.2 Revolving Loan Fund Balance Report 4. GENERAL BUSINESS 4.1 Housing TIF Application for Hillside Heights Apartments 5. ANNOUNCEMENTS 6. ADJOURNMENT Meeting Protocol No sidebar discussions No interruptions State your concern Ensure you understand Don’t take things personally Adhere to time limits Come prepared Ensure all are heard ELK RIVER ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY MICRO LOANS Current Current 5/12/20 Loan Loan Interest Term Monthly Principal Borrower Date Amount Rate (Months)Payment Outstanding Current Die Concepts 6/3/2016 $185,200 2.00%60 $936.90 $154,481.48 Y Heritage Millwork 12/22/2016 $100,000 3.00%60 $965.61 $69,219.18 Y Ralphies#1 9/10/2013 $74,999 3.00%120 $724.20 $27,067.98 Y Ralphies#2 8/28/2018 $19,175 3.00%60 $343.65 $13,099.75 Y TOTAL MICRO LOANS $263,868.39 Micro Loan Fund 240 Distinctive Iron 10/1/2019 $126,000 2.03%60 $1,050.07 186,440.15$ Y Scott Morrell LLC 8/6/2015 $200,000 2.00%60 $1,011.77 159,419.31 Y Orluck 7/17/2018 $200,000 3.00%84 $2,642.66 153,861.22 Y $499,720.68 DEED Jobs Incentive Loan Fund 242 Fund Cash Balances 05/12/20: Micro Loan Fund - 240 $893,005.71 State DEED Jobs Incentive - 242 $123,317.72 Meeting of the Elk River Joint Finance Committee Held at Elk River City Hall Tuesday, August 27, 2019 Members Present: Dan Tveite, Larry Toth, Ryan Hardin, Nate Ovall, and Rhonda Magnussen Members Absent: Jim Gromberg, Chad Vitzthum, and Michelle Eder Staff Present: Amanda Othoudt, Economic Development and Colleen Eddy, Economic Development Specialist Others Present: Cindy Hemmer, Distinctive Iron 1. Call Meeting to Order Pursuant to due call and notice thereof, the meeting of the Elk River Joint Finance Committee was called to order by Dan Tveite at 7:43 a.m. 2. Consider Agenda Motion by Ovall and seconded by Hardin to approve the August 27, 2019, Joint Finance Committee agenda. Motion carried 5-0. 3. Consent Agenda Motion by Ovall and seconded by Magnussen to approve the August 27, 2019 Joint Finance Committee consent agenda: 3.1. June 25, 2019 Joint Finance Committee meeting minutes 3.2. Revolving Loan Fund Balance report Motion carried 5-0. 4.1 Microloan Application for Distinctive Iron Ms. Othoudt presented the staff report. Mr. Ovall announced that he is a representative at the Bank of Elk River, but is not the bank representative for Ms. Hemmer and Distinctive Iron. This announcement does not prevent him from voting on this application. The Committee discussed several items on the application; is the applicant rolling their previous microloan into this request, are the jobs proposed new ones, the Initiative Foundation will also be providing gap financing for this project in the amount of $90,000. Ms. Hemmer stated that they will be leasing a portion of their old building and will sell it if the price is right. Motion by Toth to recommend approval of the Jobs Incentive Microloan application for Distinctive Iron to the EDA and seconded by Magnussen. Motion carried 5-0. 5.1 Announcements Ms. Othoudt notified the committee that there is a vacancy on the committee and if members know anyone they should send Ms. Othoudt their names. 6. Adjournment There being no further business, Mr. Tveite adjourned the meeting at 8:08 a.m. Minutes prepared by Colleen Eddy. _____________________ Tina Allard City Clerk ___________________ Amanda Othoudt Economic Development Director The Elk River Vision A welcoming community with revolutionary and spirited resourcefulness, exceptional service, and community engagement that encourages and inspires prosperity Request for Action To Joint Finance Committee Item Number 4.1 Agenda Section General Business Meeting Date May 26, 2020 Prepared by Amanda Othoudt, EDD Item Description Hillside Heights Apartments Housing TIF Application and Financial Review Reviewed by Mikaela Huot, Financial Advisor Reviewed by Cal Portner, City Administrator Action Requested Review application and provide a recommendation to the Housing and Redevelopment Authority to establish Tax Increment Financing District No. 26. Background/Discussion Community Housing Development Corporation (CHDC) proposes to develop a three-story new construction affordable apartment building on the Southeast corner of Twin Lakes Road NW and 175th Ave NW. The building will consist of approximately 55 units with 13 one-bedroom units, 28 two-bedroom units, 14 three- bedroom units and approximately 60 parking spaces. Common amenities proposed include storage, a roof deck, fitness/physical therapy room, library, community room, patio area, ball court, playground, and community garden. Based on an estimated taxable value upon completion of $7,766,300, provided by the Sherburne County Assessor, the Hillside Heights Apartments Housing Project is estimated to generate approximately $3,152,604 in total gross tax increment over 26 years, the maximum term for a Housing TIF District. The net amount projected to be available for the project is 90% or $2,837,354, with the city retaining 10% for administrative and other eligible expenses over the 26-year term of the district. The developer requested $450,000 for land acquisition and $330,000 for site improvements for a total of $780,000. Per city policy, the total estimated gross increment available is $1,818,810 ($121,254 annually) over 15 years, the maximum term allowed. Following policy guidelines, the developer may be eligible to receive up to 90% of the gross tax increment over 15 years. The estimated total net (90%) amount of tax increment over the 15-year maximum period would be $1,636,935 ($109,129 annually). The estimated present value of the net tax increment is projected to be $1,125,475 assuming 4% interest and would exceed the developer’s request. Current estimates indicate it may take 10 years to meet the developer’s full requested amount assuming a 4% interest rate. N:\Departments\Community Development\Economic Development\EDA\Administrative\Agenda\Joint Finance Committee Agenda Packets\2020\4.1 sr Community Housing Development Corporation TIF Application.docx The developer’s proposed financial package for the Hillside Heights Apartments Housing TIF Project includes the following sources and uses of funds: SOURCES AMOUNT NOTES Minnesota Housing First Mortgage $3,290,000 40 years at 3.3% interest rate TIF Mortgage $780,000 25 years at 3.3% interest rate Sales Tax Rebate $349,509 Energy Rebate $27,500 Deferred Developer Fee $502,564 50% total fee. Max allowable Tax Credit Proceeds $11,958,804 TOTAL $16,908,377 USES AMOUNT NOTES Land Acquisition $450,000 Construction $12,760,000 Contingency $510,400 Professional Fees (Soft Costs) $1,216,775 Developer Fee $1,000,000 Syndication Fees $39,600 Financing Fees $635,070 Reserves $295,533 TOTAL $16,908,377 The developer is proposing a pay-as-you-go method for eligible costs as reimbursement. To qualify as a Housing TIF District, at least 20% of the units would be occupied by persons or families with incomes no greater than 50% of county median income or at least 40% of the units would be occupied by persons or families with incomes no greater than 60% of county median income for the duration of the district. Policy Review Staff completed a review of the application in accordance of the city’s Tax Increment Financing Policy adopted on December 4, 2017. Based on the Estimated Market Value of the project as calculated by Sherburne County, the project’s EMV is approximately $7,766,300 or $141,205 per unit. Taxes generated by this project would be approximately $151,640 or $2,757.09 per unit. Public Purpose The project must achieve one or more of the following public purpose statements: 1. Demonstrate long-term benefits to the community. 2. Retain local jobs and/or increase the number and diversity of jobs that offer stable employment and/or attractive wages and benefits through:  Diversification of the local economy  Significant addition of permanent, high-wage, full-time jobs  Addition of jobs attractive to those unemployed or underemployed 3. Significantly increases the city’s commercial and industrial tax base. 4. Demonstrates the ability to encourage unsubsidized private development through “spin off” development. N:\Departments\Community Development\Economic Development\EDA\Administrative\Agenda\Joint Finance Committee Agenda Packets\2020\4.1 sr Community Housing Development Corporation TIF Application.docx 5. Facilitates the development process and achieves development on sites that would not develop “but for” the use of TIF. 6. Removes blight and/or encourages redevelopment of commercial and industrial areas resulting in high quality redevelopment and private reinvestment. 7. Offsets redevelopment costs (i.e. contaminated site cleanup) over and above the costs normally incurred in development. 8. Aids the implementation of the Mississippi Connections Plan. The proposed project meets public purpose objective #1. TIF District Term City’s policy limits TIF Districts to the minimum term necessary to meet the project needs. Only projects exceeding the objectives identified in the policy will be considered to exceed the maximum term allowed for housing projects of 15 years (26 Max) for Housing Districts.  The developer is requesting a term of 26 years of tax increment, which exceeds the general term allowed by the policy for Housing Districts. Policy Considerations 1. Each Project is required to meet the but for test to determine the need for and level of assistance.  Baker Tilly Municipal Advisors, LLC completed a but for analysis to determine if the project is expected to proceed as proposed without TIF assistance and/or if alternate funding options, structures or sources could be available that would still allow the project to proceed. The developer has indicated in the application that tax increment financing assistance is necessary for the project to be viable and meet the income restrictions of occupants and provide sufficient cash flow to finance annual operating expenses and debt service. 2. Developers receiving TIF assistance shall provide a minimum of 10% cash equity investment in the project. TIF is not to be used to supplement cash equity.  The developer is proposing to finance this project with multiple funding sources that include Minnesota Housing First Mortgage, TIF Mortgage, Sales Tax Rebate, Energy Rebate, Deferred Developer Fee and Tax Credit Proceeds. It is not a traditionally financed project that includes Owner Cash Equity and Private Mortgage. The deferred developer fee included as a funding source is $502,564, equating to 50% of the total upfront developer fee and the maximum allowable for this type of project. 3. TIF will not be used in circumstances where land and property price is of fair market value.  The developer will be required to provide the city with recent appraisals, as required for financing and performed by a third-party to determine the fair market value of the land. 4. The developer shall demonstrate a market demand for the proposed project.  The most recent housing study completed on February 15, 2018, indicates a need for 93 units of affordable rental. Financial Impact Per city policy, the total estimated gross increment available over 15 years for housing projects is $1,818,810. The developer could receive 90% of the gross increment over 15 years of $1,636,935 or a present value of $1,125,475. However, based on the developer’s application and request for assistance, it may only take up to 10 years to meet the full requested amount. N:\Departments\Community Development\Economic Development\EDA\Administrative\Agenda\Joint Finance Committee Agenda Packets\2020\4.1 sr Community Housing Development Corporation TIF Application.docx Subject to project eligibility, it is at the city’s discretion to capture the remaining 11-16 years of estimated surplus increment from this project to assist in future housing projects. Attachments  Hillside Heights Apartments TIF Application and Supporting Materials  Baker Tilly Municipal Advisors, LLC analysis and supporting documents dated May 22, 2020 Memo To: Members of the Joint Finance Committee Amanda Othoudt, Economic Development Director From: Mikaela Huot, Director Date: May 22, 2020 Subject: Hillside Heights Tax Increment Financing Housing (TIF) District Revenue Projections and Financial Analysis Background The City of Elk River received an application from Community Housing Development Corporation (CHDC), the developer, for financial assistance through Tax Increment Financing (TIF) to assist with financing a portion of the extraordinary development costs related to the construction of a new 55-unit affordable housing building. The developer stated in the application for assistance that the Hillside Heights Apartments would meet part of the remaining demand for affordable and subsidized rental housing and affordable independent living senior rental housing according to Elk River’s 2018 Housing Study. CHDC proposes to develop a three-story new construction affordable apartment building on the South East corner of Twin Lakes Road NW and 175th Ave NW. The apartment building would consist of approximately 55 units with 13 one-bedroom units, 28 two- bedroom units, 14 three-bedroom units and approximately 60 parking spaces. Common amenities will likely include storage, a roof deck, fitness/physical therapy room, library, community room, patio area, ball court, playground and community garden. The purpose of this memorandum is to provide a summary of Baker Tilly’s review of the development project costs and operating pro forma as provided by the developer to assist the City with making a determination if the project as proposed would be unlikely to proceed “but-for” the requested Tax Increment Financing (TIF) assistance, and to determine the appropriate amount, if any, of public assistance. Prior to establishing a tax increment financing district, there are findings that need to be made by the City that include: 1) determination that the project qualifies as a TIF district and 2) determination that the project as proposed would not proceed without public assistance (meeting the “but-for” test. When reviewing requests for financial assistance it is important to understand how the level of financial assistance would impact the ability of the project to proceed as proposed and maximize new value created on the current project site. Developer Request for Assistance The developer’s application includes an approximate $16.9 million project that would be funded by an estimated $11.9 million of tax credits, $3.29 million of debt financing, rebates, deferred developer fee and TIF mortgage. The developer has asked for annual tax increment revenues generated by the new project to finance a gap of approximately $780,000. Financial assistance through pay-as-you-go tax increment financing from the City Elk River has been requested to provide additional annual cash flow necessary to support the cash flow and debt service financing. Those extraordinary development costs that cannot be supported solely by the project alone typically may justify the need for public financial assistance that would allow the project to proceed as proposed to provide appropriate upfront funding and meet the minimum debt coverage requirements. The developer has indicated the receipt of City financial assistance is necessary for the project to proceed. The sources and uses of funds from the developer’s financial materials is illustrated in the table below. Sources Amount Uses Amount First Mortgage $3,290,000 Acquisition $450,000 TIF Mortgage * $780,000 Construction $12,760,000 Syndication Proceeds $11,958,804 Contingency $510,400 Sales Tax Rebate $349,509 Professional Fees (Soft Costs) $1,216,775 Energy Rebates $27,500 Developer Fee $1,000,000 Deferred Developer Fee $502,564 Syndication Fees $39,600 Financing Fees $635,070 Reserves $295,533 Total $16,908,377 Total $16,908,377 * financed as pay as you go for reimbursement of certain costs and included with First Mortgage Qualifications The City of Elk River has been approached by CHDC for the construction of 55 new apartment housing units and would require the establishment of a Tax Increment Financing Housing District. Tax increment financing is a tool the City may consider using to support financial assistance for the project, subject to meeting the but-for test and need for public financial participation. A housing TIF District is a type of tax increment district which consists of a project that is intended for occupancy by persons or families of low and moderate income. Revenue derived from tax increment from a housing district must be used solely to finance the cost of a housing project as defined. For the proposed project to qualify as a tax increment financing housing district, the property must satisfy the income requirements for a qualified residential rental project as defined in section 142(d) of the Internal Revenue Code. The requirements of this subdivision apply for the duration of the tax increment financing district. The income requirements are as follows: • at least 20% of units are occupied by individuals whose income is 50% or less of area median income • at least 40% of units are occupied by individuals whose income is 60% or less of area median income. In addition, not more than 20 percent of the square footage of the buildings that receive assistance from tax increments may consist of commercial, retail, or other non-residential uses. The developer has indicated this project would meet the income requirements outlined above with 100% of the units being affordable at levels below 50% of the area median income (AMI). The new units would include a mix of 1, 2 and 3-bedroom units. Revenues from a tax increment financing housing district can be used for all costs related to the qualifying project that may include acquisition, rehabilitation and construction, utilities, parking, streets and sidewalks. The cost of public improvements directly related to the housing projects and the allocated administrative expenses of the City may be included in the cost of a housing project. Project Financing There are generally two ways in which assistance can be provided for most projects, either upfront or on a pay- as-you-go basis. With upfront financing, the City would finance a portion of the developer’s initial project costs through the issuance of bonds or as an internal loan. Future tax increment would be collected by the City and used to pay debt service on the bonds or repayment of the internal loan. With pay-as-you-go financing, the developer would finance all project costs upfront and would be reimbursed over time for a portion of those costs as revenues are available. Pay-as-you-go-financing is generally more acceptable than upfront financing for the City because it shifts the risk for repayment to the developer. If tax increment revenues are less than originally projected, the developer receives less and therefore bears the risk of not being reimbursed the full amount of their financing. However, in some cases pay as you go financing may not be financially feasible. With bonds, the City would still need to make debt service payments and would have to use other sources to fill any shortfall of tax increment revenues. With internal financing, the City reimburses the loan with future revenue collections and may risk not repaying itself in full if tax increment revenues are not sufficient. The project financing would be pay-as-you-go for reimbursement of eligible costs. Tax Increment Revenue Assumptions The County Assessor provided a taxable value estimate for the project. To estimate the amount of available TIF revenues generated by the proposed project, certain assumptions were made based on the value of the project, construction schedule, and anticipated financing terms. • Total existing value of $310,300 o Parcel ID: 75-002-4320 o Base value as of Jan. 1, 2019 o Original net tax capacity (ONTC) of $3,879 o Assuming reclassification to rental rates  Rental classification is 1.25% • Estimated total market value upon completion o 55 new units at $141,205/unit  55 rental units  $7,766,300 • Classification for all units as rental o Rental class rate (1.25% per unit) • Incremental value based on difference between existing and new land/building value • Construction commences in 2020 and is completed in 2021 o Project values 100% complete for assess 2022 and taxes payable 2023 • First increment collected in 2023 o Election to delay first increment by up to 4 years • Net present value (discount) rate of 4% • 0% annual market value inflation Tax Increment Revenue Estimates Revenue Estimates Estimated annual available increment (first year) $121,254 Total gross tax increment $3,152,604 City retainage (10%) $315,250 Net amount available for development (90%) $2,837,354 Total estimated present value (4%) $1,617,877 Estimated Maximum Developer Loan $780,000 Estimated Loan Payments $235,221 Total Estimated Payments $1,015,221 Estimated Surplus Funds $1,822,133 Developer Pro forma Analysis including But-For Upon approval of a TIF district and project, the City must make several findings, including the “but for” test: that the proposed development would not reasonably be expected to occur solely through private investment within the reasonably foreseeable future. The developer has stated that but for the provision of tax increment financing, the project as proposed would not occur due to a reduction in projected revenues causing a gap in supportable permanent financing sources. Because the development would be income and rent restricted housing, the supportable first mortgage would be lower than that of a market rate housing project. Based on the developer’s stated position relative to the need for tax increment financing assistance, the City could make its “but for” finding and provide tax increment assistance. We recommend, however, that the City review the provided assumptions to consider if the project meets the but-for test and, if so, what an appropriate level and type of TIF assistance may be based on the information submitted by the developer. Following thorough evaluation of the project as provided allows the City to be prepared to make an informed “but-for” decision based on the likelihood of the project needing assistance, as well as the appropriate level of assistance. To complete this analysis, we reviewed the developer’s provided operating proforma and constructed similar ten-year project proformas, showing a result if the developer received the assistance as pay-as-you-go (reimbursement for TIF eligible costs) and showing a result if the developer did not receive assistance. Our analysis of the proformas included a review of the development budget, projected operating revenues and expenditures, and the project’s capacity to support annual debt service on outstanding debt. The purpose of evaluating the operating proformas is to understand the potential cash flow performance through initial development of the project and the annual operations of the project over a 10-year period to assist with determining if the project is financially feasible and would need public participation. Due to the financing structure that incorporates primarily tax credits and debt financing, we are not testing the developer’s projected investment returns like we would for a privately financed for-profit project. Instead we are reviewing the project proforma that includes upfront sources and uses and annual cash flow to assist with making the determination that 1) tax increment assistance is necessary and 2) an appropriate level of assistance. The amount of financing available for the project is based on net operating income. Net operating income is revenues less operating expenses. The annual revenues (rents) as included in the proforma are lower than a market rate project and using current rent and income levels would fall below 50% of AMI. As a result, under the current financing structure, additional annual cash flow would be necessary to obtain a level of debt financing necessary to fund all project costs. The developer has identified tax increment pledged from the City as a method of providing the additional cash flow revenues required to achieve financial feasibility. An additional measure of project feasibility is the Debt Coverage Ratio (DCR), which is a calculation detailing the ratio by which operating income exceeds the debt-service payments for the project. If the DCR is greater than 1.0 it indicates the project has operating income that is greater than the debt-service payment by some margin; conversely if the DCR is less than 1.0 it indicates the project is incapable of meeting its debt-service payment and would need to seek additional revenue sources in order to pay its debt. Typical lending standards will require a DCR of greater than 1.0 as a measure of cushion in the event actual revenues and expenses are different than projected. The developer’s operating proforma with tax increment assistance includes a 1.12x DCR, which is the minimum level generally required for this type of project. Our review of the operating proformas based on with assistance as pay-as-you-go and with no assistance provides the range of financial feasibility for this project and what the estimated gap would be without assistance. It is important to note that certain assumptions were made based on the developer’s provided information and market industry standards for annual lease rates at the targeted income levels, vacancy rates and annual revenue and operating expense inflators in order to analyze the project performance. Adjustments were made to those assumptions to understand the potential impact on the project performance and required need for and level of assistance. To understand viability of the project and need for public assistance, we provided a sensitivity analysis to the proformas with adjustments made to the funding sources and annual operating revenues and expenses. Increases in the projected lease rates or decreases in operating expenses may result in similar returns and DCR calculations as would be through providing tax increment assistance. The developer’s proforma includes 100% of the units at or less than approximately 50% of the AMI. To qualify as a housing TIF District, 20% of the units would need to be at 50% AMI or 40% of the units at 60% AMI. Housing Credit (LIHTC) properties must be rented only to families whose income is at or less than 60 percent of the area median income. Tenants’ rent payments are limited to 30 percent of their income. Without annual tax increment financing revenues and developer-provided assumptions, the project is not projected to be viable at the current rent levels. The annual revenues would not be sufficient to support the level of debt necessary for the project to proceed. However, increasing the rents to meet the 60% AMI threshold is projected to make it a viable project and would reduce the level and/or need for tax increment as the revenues would be increased to a level that could support repayment of the required debt levels. Other factors that may impact project feasibility include review of the City’s current TIF policy and implications to the proforma assumptions. The maximum amount of assistance that could be provided for the project following the policy guidelines is 15 years. Based on current projections of tax increment revenues, the actual term would be less than 10 years to meet the requested level of $780,000, assuming an interest rate component. With these adjusted assumptions regarding term of tax increment, subject to how the debt is structured, there may be potential cash flow concerns once the tax increment revenue stream has ended, unless there is an increase in revenues, alternate revenue source or restructuring of the financial obligation. Also related to policy guidelines is the requirement of owner cash equity of 10%. The financing structure of this project is through tax credits, bonding, rebates and deferred developer fee. Because it is a LIHTC project and not market rate, the capital stack is not a traditional one that comprises private mortgage and owner equity. Conclusion The developer has requested financial assistance related to construction of the new project. Through submission of the tax increment financing application and supporting financial information, the developer has indicated that the project would not occur as proposed without financial assistance from the City due to the reduced rents for all 55 housing units. Using the developer’s assumptions, with assistance, the project would be able to obtain sufficient financing to support total project costs. Using the same assumptions, without assistance, the project is expected to have a financial gap of $780,000. The developer has stated that applying the City’s tax increment revenues to the project would provide the funding levels necessary to close that gap. The projected rental rates are based on approximate 50% AMI affordability levels for 100% of the units. The TIF statute requires at least 20% of the units at 50% AMI or 40% of the units at 60% AMI, putting this project at a higher level of affordability than what is statutorily required for the tax increment financing tool. LIHTC project requirements include 100% of the units at 60% AMI and this project proposal also exceeds those affordability requirements. An increase in annual rental rates up to 60% AMI is projected to have a similar impact of providing additional cash flow as would annual tax increment revenues and would eliminate the need for assistance. Actual performance would be subject to market and developer’s ability to receive the required funding sources and levels. The maximum term of assistance pursuant to the City’s policy is 15 years and based on current revenues, the actual term of assistance is projected to be closer to 10 years. The term of the bonds for the project is based on 40 years and LIHTC requirements for affordability would be 30 years. The term of the tax increment financing would be for a much shorter period than projected debt payments, which may lead to cash flow considerations subject to restructuring. Consistent with development projects, including affordable housing LIHTC projects, a developer fee has been included in the project costs. The developer is deferring just over 50% of those costs to provide additional upfront funding. Thank you for the opportunity to be of assistance to the City of Elk River. Please contact me at 651.368.2533 or Mikaela.huot@bakertily.com with any questions or comments. Projected Tax Increment Report City of Elk River, Minnesota Tax Increment Financing (Housing ) District Hillside Senior Housing Prelminiary Revenue Projections Less: Retained Times:Less:Less:P.V. Annual Total Total Original Captured Tax Annual State Aud.Subtotal Admin. Annual Annual Period Market Net Tax Net Tax Net Tax Capacity Gross Tax Deduction Net Tax Retainage Net Net Rev. To Ending Value (1)Capacity (2)Capacity (3)Capacity Rate (4)Increment 0.360% Increment 10.00% Revenue 02/01/21 (1)(2)(3)(4)(6)(7)(8)(9)(10)(11)(12)4.00% 12/31/20 310,300 3,879 3,879 0 130.571%0 0 0 0 0 0 12/31/21 310,300 3,879 3,879 0 130.571%0 0 0 0 0 0 12/31/22 310,300 3,879 3,879 0 130.571%0 0 0 0 0 0 12/31/23 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 *97,333 12/31/24 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 93,589 12/31/25 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 89,990 12/31/26 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 86,529 12/31/27 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 83,201 12/31/28 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 80,001 12/31/29 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 76,924 12/31/30 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 73,965 12/31/31 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 71,120 12/31/32 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 68,385 12/31/33 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 65,755 12/31/34 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 63,226 12/31/35 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 60,794 12/31/36 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 58,456 12/31/37 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 56,207 12/31/38 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 54,045 12/31/39 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 51,967 12/31/40 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 49,968 12/31/41 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 48,046 12/31/42 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 46,198 12/31/43 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 44,421 12/31/44 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 42,713 12/31/45 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 41,070 12/31/46 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 39,491 12/31/47 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 37,972 12/31/48 7,766,300 97,079 3,879 93,200 130.571% 121,692 438 121,254 12,125 109,129 36,511 $3,163,992 $11,388 $3,152,604 $315,250 $2,837,354 $1,617,877 * election to delay receipt of first increment until 2023 (up to 4 years from approval date) (1) Total estimated market value based on information provided by County Assessor ($141,205/unit) very preliminary and subject to further review. Includes 0% annual market value inflator (2) Total net tax capacity based on residential rental market rate class rate of 1.25% (3) Original net tax capacity based on existing land & building value (4) Total local combined tax rate available for taxes payable 2020 rates Projected Pay-as-you-Go Loan Report City of Elk River, Minnesota Tax Increment Financing (Housing ) District Hillside Senior Housing Prelminiary Revenue Projections Note Date:02/01/21 Note Rate:4.00% Amount:$780,000 Cumulative Unpaid Semi-Annual Loan Interest Accrued Net Balance Date Principal Interest P & I Due Interest Revenue Outstanding (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(7) 780,000.00 02/01/21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 780,000.00 08/01/21 0.00 0.00 0.00 15,600.00 15,600.00 0.00 780,000.00 02/01/22 0.00 0.00 0.00 31,200.00 31,200.00 0.00 780,000.00 08/01/22 0.00 0.00 0.00 46,800.00 46,800.00 0.00 780,000.00 02/01/23 0.00 0.00 0.00 62,400.00 62,400.00 0.00 780,000.00 08/01/23 0.00 54,564.50 54,564.50 78,000.00 23,435.50 54,564.50 780,000.00 02/01/24 15,529.00 39,035.50 54,564.50 39,035.50 0.00 54,564.50 764,471.00 08/01/24 39,275.08 15,289.42 54,564.50 15,289.42 0.00 54,564.50 725,195.92 02/01/25 40,060.58 14,503.92 54,564.50 14,503.92 0.00 54,564.50 685,135.34 08/01/25 40,861.79 13,702.71 54,564.50 13,702.71 0.00 54,564.50 644,273.55 02/01/26 41,679.03 12,885.47 54,564.50 12,885.47 0.00 54,564.50 602,594.52 08/01/26 42,512.61 12,051.89 54,564.50 12,051.89 0.00 54,564.50 560,081.91 02/01/27 43,362.86 11,201.64 54,564.50 11,201.64 0.00 54,564.50 516,719.05 08/01/27 44,230.12 10,334.38 54,564.50 10,334.38 0.00 54,564.50 472,488.93 02/01/28 45,114.72 9,449.78 54,564.50 9,449.78 0.00 54,564.50 427,374.21 08/01/28 46,017.02 8,547.48 54,564.50 8,547.48 0.00 54,564.50 381,357.19 02/01/29 46,937.36 7,627.14 54,564.50 7,627.14 0.00 54,564.50 334,419.83 08/01/29 47,876.10 6,688.40 54,564.50 6,688.40 0.00 54,564.50 286,543.73 02/01/30 48,833.63 5,730.87 54,564.50 5,730.87 0.00 54,564.50 237,710.10 08/01/30 49,810.30 4,754.20 54,564.50 4,754.20 0.00 54,564.50 187,899.80 02/01/31 50,806.50 3,758.00 54,564.50 3,758.00 0.00 54,564.50 137,093.30 08/01/31 51,822.63 2,741.87 54,564.50 2,741.87 0.00 54,564.50 85,270.67 02/01/32 52,859.09 1,705.41 54,564.50 1,705.41 0.00 54,564.50 32,411.58 08/01/32 32,411.58 648.23 33,059.81 648.23 0.00 33,059.81 0.00 02/01/33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 08/01/33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 02/01/34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 08/01/34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 02/01/35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 08/01/35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 02/01/36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 08/01/36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 02/01/37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 08/01/37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 02/01/38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 $780,000 $235,220.81 $1,015,220.81 $1,015,220.81 Surplus Tax Increment 1,822,133 Total Net Revenue $2,837,354.00 Item 0 Narrative 1 Statement of Public Purpose A Written business plan B Financial Statements for Past Two  Years C Current Financial Statements D Two Year Financial Projections E Personal Financial Statements of all Major Shareholders F Letter of Commitment from Applicant Pledging to Complete G Letter of Commitment from the Other Sources of Financing H Application deposit of $10,000 I Construction Plans and Itemized Project Construction Statement J Attach the following documentation as Exhibits Exhibit A  Entity Documents Exhibit B  Description of Project  Exhibit C  List of Shareholders/Partners Exhibit D But‐For Analysis Exhibit E  List of Prospective Lessees Exhibit F  Legal Description and PID Number(s) City of Elk River ‐ TIF Application Hillside Heights Apartments  City of Elk River – Tax Increment Financing Application A. APPLICANT INFORMATION Name of Entity: Community Housing Development Corporation Address: 614 North 1st Street, Suite 100, Minneapolis, MN 55401 Primary Contact: Dan Walsh Address: 614 North 1st Street, Suite 100, Minneapolis, MN 55401 Phone: (612) 274-7817 Fax: NA Email: dwalsh@chdcmn.org Brief description of the entity business, including history, principal product or service: Community Housing Development Corporation's (CHDC) mission is to sustain high-quality and affordable homes, to enhance the community over the long term, and to create and maintain healthy living. As the owner of 44 properties and more than 3,600 housing units, CHDC takes a unique, businesslike approach to affordable housing by keeping overhead costs small and structuring its properties and operations to be financially self-sustaining over the long term. For example, at the end of 2019, CHDC’s average expense coverage ratio across its portfolio was 1.34, and it has never defaulted on any of its mortgages. Founded in 1991, CHDC has provided stability to Minnesota residents and communities for more than 25 years as a developer and owner. Brief description of the proposed project: Hillside Heights Apartments will meet part of the remaining demand for affordable and subsidized rental housing and affordable independent living senior rental housing according to Elk River’s 2018 Housing Study. CHDC proposes to develop a three-story new construction affordable apartment building on the South East corner of Twin Lakes Road NW and 175th Ave NW. The apartment building will consist of approximately 55 units with 13 one-bedroom units, 28 two-bedroom units, 14 three-bedroom units and approximately 60 parking spaces. Common amenities will likely include storage, a roof deck, fitness / physical therapy room, library, community room, patio area, ball court, playground and community garden. Attorney Name: John Stern, Winthrop and Weinsteine Address: Capella Tower, 225 South 6th St, Suite 3500, Minneapolis, MN 55402 Phone: (612) 604-6588 Fax: (612) 604-6800 Email: jstern@winthrop.com Accountant Name: Donna Stevermer, Mahoney Ulbrich Christiansen and Russ, P.A. Address: 10 River Park Plaza #800, St Paul, MN 55107 Phone: (651) 227-6695 Fax: (651) 227-9796 Email: dstevermer@mucr.com Contractor Name: Mike Benedict, Frana Companies Inc. Address: 633 2nd Ave S, Hopkins, MN 55343 Phone: (952) 908-2664 Fax: (952) 935-8644 Email: Mike@frana.com Engineer Name (Civil & Structural): BKBM Engineers, John Timm and Keith Matte Address: 5930 Brooklyn Boulevard, Minneapolis, MN 55429 Phone: (763) 843-0474 (John) / (763) 843-0446 (Keith) Fax: (763) 843-041 Email: jtimm@bkbm.com / kmatte@bkbm.com Engineer Name (MEP): Design Tree Engineering, Robert Schuster and Aaron Mueller Address: 21308 John Milless Drive, Suite 104, Rogers, MN 55374 Phone: (763) 270-6316 (Robert) / (763) 270-6313 (Aaron) Fax: (763) 923-8636 Email: rms@dte-ls.com / arm@ate-ls.com Architect Name: Tod Elkins, UrbanWorks Architecture LLC Address: 901 North Third Street Suite 145, Minneapolis, MN 55401 Phone: (612) 455-3104 Fax: (612)455-3199 Email: TElkins@urban-works.com B. PROJECT INFORMATION 1. The project will be: _____ Redevelopment District __X__ Housing District _____ Soils Condition District _____ Renewal and Renovation District _____ Economic Development District 2. The project will be: ___Owner Occupied _x (rental housing) _ Leased Space 3. Project Address: 17451 Twin Lakes Road, Elk River, MN 55330 Legal Description & Parcel Identification Number(s): PID: 75-002-4320 That part of the West 474.61 feet of the Southwest Quarter of the Southeast Quarter of Section 2, Township 32, Range 26, Sherburne County, Minnesota, that lies North of the following described line: Commencing at the Southwest corner of said Southwest Quarter of the Southeast Quarter; thence North along the West line thereof for 755.00 feet to the actual point of beginning of the line to be hereby described; thence East at right angles for 474.61 feet and there terminating. And that lies Easterly and Southerly of the following described centerline: Commencing at the Southwest corner of said Southwest Quarter of the Southeast Quarter; thence South 89 degrees, 37 minutes, 23 seconds West, assumed bearing, along the South line of the Southwest Quarter of said Section 2 for 293.37 feet; thence North 0 degrees, 22 minutes, 37 seconds West for 3.00 feet to a point to be hereafter known as Point "A" for the purposes of this description; thence South 89 degrees, 37 minutes, 23 seconds West parallel with said South line of the Southwest Quarter for 434.95 feet, more or less, to intersect the Northeasterly line of the right-of-way of the Burlington Northern Railroad Company at the actual point of beginning of the centerline to be hereby described; thence return North 89 degrees, 37 minutes, 23 seconds East to said Point "A"; thence Northeasterly and Northerly along a tangential curve to the left, radius 299.87 feet, for a central angle of 88 degrees, 42 minutes, 19 seconds, and a length of 464.26 feet; thence North 0 degrees, 55 minutes, 04 seconds East tangent to said curve for 554.93 feet; thence Northeasterly and Easterly along a tangential curve to the right, radius 317.09 feet, for a central angle of 86 degrees, 49 minutes, 40 seconds, and a length of 80.53 feet; thence North 87 degrees, 44 minutes, 44 seconds East tangent to said curve for 2301.27 feet, more or less, to intersect with and terminate at the East line of said Southeast Quarter of Section 2 at a point thereon a distance of 17.31 feet south of the Northeast corner of the South Half of said Southeast Quarter. (Abstract Property) 4. Site Plan and Preliminary Construction Plans Attached: __X__ Yes ____ No 5. Amount of Tax Increment Requested for: Land Purchase: $450,000 Public Improvement: TBD Site Improvement: $330,000 6. Current Real Estate Taxes on Project Site: $4,480.00 Estimated Real Estate Taxes upon Completion: $40,108.00 7. Construction Start Date: June 2021 Construction Completion Date: June 2022 If Phased Project: Year _NA__ % Completed Year _NA__ % Completed C. PUBLIC PURPOSE It is the policy of the City of Elk River that the use of Tax Increment Financing should result in a benefit to the public. Please indicate how this project will serve a public purpose. See attached statement of public purpose. __X__ Job Creation/Retention: _____ Number of existing jobs __X__ Number of jobs created by project (Property Mgmt: 2 full-time. Construction: 150 jobs) __X__ Average hourly wage of jobs created/retained (Property Mgmt: est. $60,000 annually. Construction: $51.00 per hour) _____ New industrial development, which will result in additional private investment in the area __X___ Enhancement or diversification of the city’s economic base __X__ The project contributes to the fulfillment of the City’s Plan __X___ Removal of blight or the rehabilitation of a high profile or priority site __X__ Significantly increase the City’s tax base __X___ Other: see attached D. SOURCES & USES SOURCES AMOUNT NOTES Minnesota Housing First Mortgage $3,290,000 40 years at 3.3% interest rate TIF Mortgage $780,000 25 years at 3.3% interest rate Sales Tax Rebate $349,509 Energy Rebate $27,500 Deferred Developer Fee $502,564 50% total fee. Max allowable Tax Credit Proceeds $11,958,804 TOTAL $16,908,377 USES AMOUNT NOTES Land Acquisition $450,000 Construction $12,760,000 Contingency $510,400 Professional Fees (Soft Costs) $1,216,775 Developer Fee $1,000,000 Syndication Fees $39,600 Financing Fees $635,070 Reserves $295,533 TOTAL $16,908,377 E. ADDITIONAL DOCUMENTATION AND CHECKLIST Applicants will also be required to provide the following documentation. __X__A) Written business plan, including a description of the business, ownership/management, date established, products and services, and future plans __X__B) Financial Statements for Past Two Years Profit & Loss Statement Balance Sheet __X__C) Current Financial Statements Profit & Loss Statement to Date Balance Sheet to Date __X__D) Two Year Financial Projections __X__E) Personal Financial Statements of all Major Shareholders - Current Tax Return __X__F) Letter of Commitment from Applicant Pledging to Complete During the Proposed Project Timeline __X__G) Letter of Commitment from the Other Sources of Financing, Stating Terms and Conditions of their Participation in Project __X__H) Application deposit of $10,000, with any unused portion to be refunded __X__I) Construction Plans and Itemized Project Construction Statement __X__J) Attach the following documentation as Exhibits Exhibit A – Entity Documents Exhibit B – Description of Project Exhibit C – List of Shareholders/Partners Exhibit D – But-For Analysis Exhibit E – List of Prospective Lessees Exhibit F – Legal Description and PID Number(s) Exhibit B – Description of Project Hillside Heights Apartments will meet part of the remaining demand for affordable and subsidized rental housing and affordable independent living senior rental housing according to Elk River’s 2018 Housing Study. CHDC proposes to develop a three-story new construction affordable apartment building on the South East corner of Twin Lakes Road NW and 175th Ave NW. The apartment building will consist of approximately 55 units with 12 one-bedroom units, 15 two-bedroom units, 18 three-bedroom units and approximately 60 parking spaces. Common amenities will likely include storage, a roof deck, fitness / physical therapy room, library, community room, patio area, ball court, playground and community garden. C. Statement of Public Purpose for Hillside Heights Apartments Meets the housing needs identified in the 2018 Housing Study • Assuming CommonBond’s Elk Ridge Lodge is constructed and occupied, Hillside Heights Apartments will meet part of the remaining demand for affordable and subsidized rental housing and affordable independent living senior rental housing. o Hillside Heights Apartments is an alternative development concept containing 55 total units anticipated to serve 12 subsidized households, 27 affordable families and 16 affordable senior active adults. CHDC has had success developing multi-generational housing and has seen positive outcomes including reduced loneliness and increased security and youth enrichment. o The following table summarizes how the development meets the identified needs: Demand Hillside Heights Apts Remaining Demand Study Reference Subsidized 34 12 22 Page 44 and Table CR-2 Affordable 35* 27 8 Page 44 and Table CR-2 Affordable Senior Active Adult 40 16 24 Page 46 and Table CR-2 *Note: 60-unit Elk Ridge Lodge netted out • The 0% vacancy rates for affordable rental housing and senior housing at all levels (pages 30 and 31) indicate a pent-up demand for this type of housing. • Additional demand for Hillside Heights Apartments will also likely come from outside Elk River in the larger submarket area. • Note: This study was completed before the COVID-19 pandemic, and it is reasonable to assume that demand for affordable and senior housing and the jobs it supports will increase through 2025. Good housing is a fundamental piece of the economic recovery. Consistent with the Comprehensive Plan • Provide more housing type choices for the growing number of families in Elk River. “As the percentage of ‘family households’ increased more substantially between 2000 and 2010 than the County and the State.” (page 70) • Diversify the housing types. “As of 2010, 80% perfect of the housing units in Elk River were owner occupied.” and “…it is important for communities to have a mixture of both owner- occupied and renter-occupied units.” (page 71) • Create 55 units of housing for individuals and families at 50% of the area median income. “In 2010, 40.7% of renters paid over 30% of their household income in rent...” meaning that they are rent burdened. (page 73) • Help meet the demand of “the strong need to provide affordable housing for people of all ages.” (page 78) • Provide stable, affordable senior housing for “the notable increase in apartment rental needs in Elk River by members of the baby boom generation.” (page 78) • Provide 55 units of affordable housing within a half mile of the Northstar Commuter Rail Station. “Affordable housing is important to a strong economy and a healthy community.” (page 79) Consistent with the FAST Plan • Accomplishes all the planning and zoning objectives for the 175th Avenue and Twin Lakes Road site in FAST Hillside Heights subarea. (page 55) • Density will be 26 units/acre. (page 38) • Building will be stacked three story residential. (page 38) • Offers a variety of housing options. (page 55) • Attractive streetscape and pedestrian connection along Twin Lakes Parkway. (pages 55-57) • Innovative stormwater practices (considering permeable paving, rain gardens, underground tanks) and energy generation (considering geothermal, solar ready). (page 59) • Open space connections and views. (pages 41, 46, 55) • Landscape buffers. (pages 41, 46) • Paths and crosswalk to the commuter rail station. (page 40) • Site is located in the early Phase 1 project area where FAST concludes TIF will be needed to implement the master plan. (pages 62,67, 71-74) Demonstrates long-term benefits to the community • The development will provide long-term, stable workforce and senior housing to approximately 55 households. • CHDC intends to own the development indefinitely. It will be a good neighbor and ensure the development remains a community asset for decades to come. Increases the number and diversity of jobs that offer stable employment and/or attractive wages and benefits • The building will employee at least two on-site property management staff with salaries estimated to be around $50,000 each. • The project will create 150 temporary construction jobs at an estimated $51.00 per hour. Significantly increases the city’s tax base • Currently, the property pays $4,480 in taxes according to its 2020 property tax statement. By significantly increasing the density on the site, estimated property taxes will increase $35,628, to $40,108. Demonstrates the ability to encourage unsubsidized development • Following the goals and guidance of the FAST, the developer will request a subdivision in order to develop Phase II, which will be another 55 units apartment building. The developer will likely not need city subsidies for Phase II because of the reduced acquisition costs. Facilitates the development process and achieves development on sites that would not develop “but for” the use of TIF • But for the award of tax increment financing, the development will not occur due to a gap in permanent financing. Because the development is income/rent restricted housing, its supportable first mortgage is comparatively smaller than an identical market rate housing project’s mortgage. • Per the FAST Plan, this site is located in the early Phase 1 project area where TIF will be needed to implement the master plan. Exhibit D – But-For Analysis But for the award of tax increment financing, the development will not occur due to a gap in permanent financing sources. Because the development is income/rent restricted housing, its supportable first mortgage is comparatively smaller than an identical market rate housing project’s mortgage. Per the FAST Plan, this site is located in the early Phase 1 project area where TIF will be needed to implement the master plan. See the permanent financing gap in the following summary sources and uses. SOURCES AMOUNT NOTES Minnesota Housing First Mortgage $3,290,000 40 years at 3.3% interest rate GAP $780,000 Requested TIF mortgage Sales Tax Rebate $349,509 Energy Rebate $27,500 Deferred Developer Fee $502,564 50% total fee. Max allowable Tax Credit Proceeds $11,958,804 TOTAL $16,908,377 USES AMOUNT NOTES Land Acquisition $450,000 Construction $12,760,000 Contingency $510,400 Professional Fees (Soft Costs) $1,216,775 Developer Fee $1,000,000 Syndication Fees $39,600 Financing Fees $635,070 Reserves $295,533 TOTAL $16,908,377 A Feasibility Analysis For Hillside Heights Apartments Elk River, MN Sherburne County Date of Report April 24, 2020 Date of Site Visit April 5, 2020 Prepared for: Community Housing Development Corporation Prepared by: Chris Vance Market Analyst Professionals 222 South 9th Street, Suite 1600 Minneapolis, MN 55402 PH: 248-515-0496 cavance@mindspring.com chris.vance@mapyourproject.com Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 1 April 24, 2020 Table of Contents SECTION 1: INTRODUCTION AND SCOPE OF WORK .................................................................... 3  SECTION 2: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .................................................................................................. 4  SECTION 4: MARKET AREA DELINEATION ..................................................................................... 9  SECTION 5: SITE PROFILE .................................................................................................................. 13  Map: Aerial Map of Site Via Google ................................................................................................................................... 15  Map: Site and Adjacent Features ........................................................................................................................................ 16  Map: Local Area and Amenities .......................................................................................................................................... 17  SECTION 6: DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AND CHARACTERISTICS ............................................ 21  DEMOGRAPHIC OVERVIEW ................................................................................................................................... 21  POPULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND TRENDS ................................................................................................... 22  Population Trends and Forecast .......................................................................................................................................... 23  Population by Age Group ..................................................................................................................................................... 24  HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS AND TRENDS .................................................................................................... 25  Household Trends and Forecast .......................................................................................................................................... 26  Average Household Size and Group Quarters ..................................................................................................................... 27  Renter Households ............................................................................................................................................................... 29  Households by Tenure by Number of Persons in Household ............................................................................................... 30  Tenure by Age by Household................................................................................................................................................ 31  HOUSEHOLD INCOME ............................................................................................................................................ 32  Median Household Income ................................................................................................................................................... 32  Household Income Distribution by Tenure PMA ................................................................................................................. 34  Senior Household (65+) Income Distribution by Tenure PMA ............................................................................................ 35  Non-Senior Household Income by Tenure PMA .................................................................................................................. 36  Household Income Distribution by Tenure PMA ................................................................................................................. 37  SECTION 7: ECONOMIC ANALYSIS .................................................................................................. 38  ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS AND TRENDS ...................................................................................................... 39  Employee Commute Times ................................................................................................................................................... 39  Industry Employment Concentrations .................................................................................................................................. 40  Graph: Unemployment Rate Comparison ............................................................................................................................ 42  Annual Labor Force and Employment Statistics .................................................................................................................. 43  Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 2 April 24, 2020 Monthly Labor Force and Employment Statistics (Year/Year) ............................................................................................ 44  SECTION 8: SUPPLY ANALYSIS AND CHARACTERISTICS ........................................................ 46  BUILDING PERMITS ................................................................................................................................................ 46  SOURCE: HUD ........................................................................................................................................................ 46  LOCAL RENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS .................................................................................................................... 47  Rental Housing Survey-Competitive Set ............................................................................................................................... 49  Rental Housing Survey-Total Survey.................................................................................................................................... 54  COMPARABLE PROJECT INFORMATION ............................................................................................................... 58  Map: Comparable Projects .................................................................................................................................................. 58  Comparable Project Summary Sheets .................................................................................................................................. 61  SECTION 9: LOCAL PERSPECTIVE ................................................................................................... 67  SECTION 10: DEMAND ANALYSIS ..................................................................................................... 68  DEMAND FOR RENTAL UNITS ............................................................................................................................... 68  Rent Derivation .................................................................................................................................................................... 71  Rent Derivation .................................................................................................................................................................... 72  Future Rental Market and Associated Risks ........................................................................................................................ 74  RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................ 74  SECTION 11: SPECIAL NEEDS ANALYSIS ....................................................................................... 75  SECTION 12: OTHER REQUIREMENTS ............................................................................................ 77  ADDENDUM A ........................................................................................................................................... 80  ADDENDUM B ........................................................................................................................................... 81  ADDENDUM: MARKET STUDY ANALYSIS AND CONSIDERATION: ........................................ 82  DEMAND ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................................................ 83  Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 3 April 24, 2020 Section 1: Introduction and Scope of Work Market Analyst Professionals, LLC (MAP) has prepared the following Comprehensive Market Analysis Full Narrative Report to determine the market feasibility of an affordable housing project located in Elk River, Minnesota. The report was prepared for Community Housing Development Corporation. The subject proposal is described in detail in Section 3. The market study was prepared in accordance with Minnesota Housing Finance Agency (MHFA) guidelines and industry accepted practices and is written to meet the requirements of the MHFA market study requirement. The market study includes a site visit and field work by the analyst signing the report conducted on April 5, 2020 with the senior analyst signing the report responsible for conclusions and analysis of the report. Information contained within the report is assumed to be trustworthy and reliable. Recommendations and conclusions in the report are based on professional opinion. MAP does not guarantee the data nor assume any liability for any errors in fact, analysis or judgment resulting from the use of the report. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 4 April 24, 2020 Section 2: Executive Summary AMI Target # of Units # of PBRA Units # of Baths Type Average Sq. Footage Contract Rent Utility Allowance Gross Rent Max Gross Rent Maximum Income Total 55 8 $64,530 Summary 1 BR 13 8 $49,680 1 BR-Apt 30% 4 4 1.0 Apt 680 $722 $62 $784 $582 $24,840 1 BR-Apt 50% 3 1.0 Apt 680 $908 $62 $970 $970 $49,680 1 BR-Apt 50% 4 4 1.0 Apt 680 $722 $62 $784 $970 $49,680 1 BR-Apt 60% 2 1.0 Apt 680 $1,102 $62 $1,164 $1,164 $49,680 Summary 2 BR 28 0 $55,860 2 BR-Apt 50% 14 1.0 Apt 980 $1,083 $80 $1,163 $1,163 $55,860 2 BR-Apt* 60% 14 1.0 Apt 980 $1,316 $80 $1,396 $1,396 $55,860 Summary 3 BR 14 0 $64,530 3 BR-Apt 50% 7 2.0 Apt 1,280 $1,246 $98 $1,344 $1,344 $64,530 3 BR-Apt 60% 7 2.0 Apt 1,280 $1,515 $98 $1,613 $1,613 $64,530  Based on the analysis within this report, the proposal will be successful as is, no changes are deemed necessary. The site is located in a mixed-use area but with LIHTC residential uses located a short distance from the site. Amenities and employment opportunities are located in close proximity with easy access to Minneapolis to the southeast. Household growth in the area is forecasted to increase through 2025 with the rate within the PMA exceeding the overall rate of the state and county. The Minneapolis MSA has outperformed the state average in terms of the unemployment rate in recent years and employment has increased annually each of the past nine years. Derived demand statistics for the subject suggest sufficient demand to absorb the proposal. Finally, supply side data indicates rents for the subject will be competitively positioned in the area and the subject will be well positioned in the market and competitive with comparable projects which have reported very strong occupancy indicative of strong demand in the area. As a result, the development of the proposal to more adequately serve the PMA’s population is appropriate.  The subject is located in the city of Elk River within southeast Sherburne County, Minnesota. Elk River is located approximately 8 miles north of Interstate 94. Both I-94 and US-10 provide linkages to Minneapolis. Additionally, the Northstar commuter rail station is located just south of the site. The site for the project is an occupied lot (with a home to be demolished) located southeast of Twin Lakes Road and 175th Avenue in a mixed-use area. Land to the north of the site is vacant and wooded, a single-family home in good condition is located to the immediate east, Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 5 April 24, 2020 and to the south is a tree line obscuring the site from what appears to be a poor condition residential building. A short distance south of the site is a Northstar Light Rail Station as well as both Coachman Apartments and The Depot at Elk River Apartments (LIHTC projects detailed in a latter section of this report) and newer residential and commercial development.  The proposal is located in the city of Elk River, Minnesota, in Census Tract 305.02 of Sherburne County. The PMA is defined by Census Tracts and encompasses an area northwest of Minneapolis including a portion of Census Tracts located in Wright, Hennepin, Sherburne and Anoka Counties. Major factors in defining the PMA were proximity to the site, socioeconomic conditions and competition with surrounding areas. Specifically, the site is located in the city of Elk River near the recently constructed Northstar commuter rail line. Declining proximity to the site was the major factor in limiting the PMA. Specifically, the PMA extends less than 8 miles from the site in all directions. Given the small geographic area it encompasses the PMA should be considered a conservative estimate of demand.  The most comparable projects to the proposal include general occupancy units operating under income restriction guidelines within the same area as the proposal and offering similar units. Among LIHTC projects those in closest proximity and considered the most comparable to the subject are included—excluding more dated projects. Additionally, two market rate projects are included to gauge hypothetical market rents for the subject. Detailed information on these projects is presented in the following pages. The overall occupancy rate for the most comparable projects is 99.7 percent. The subject will offer one- to three-bedroom general occupancy units with comparable amenities and unit sizes to comparable facilities. The development will be the newest project in the area, commanding a premium relative to more dated competitive set projects. Among competitive set projects Coachman limits rents to 50 percent AMI (for 60 percent AMI income restrictions) and these units are shifted in the rent grid. Considering adjustments and projections to market entry the subject’s rents are consistent with MAP’s estimated achievable LIHTC rents and are appropriately positioned relative to hypothetical market. Competitive rents and strong demand for affordable housing in the area offer support for the success of the proposal.  Reported absorption among competitive set projects has been robust. Maple Village reported one Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 6 April 24, 2020 month absorption of 102 units, the Depot at Elk River Station reported 53 units in one month and Coachmen Elk River reported absorption of 53 units in one month. Considering these rates as well as absorption based on movership ratios and estimated capture rates among income qualified households, it is conservatively estimated the subject would be fully absorbed within 5-6 months of market entry. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 7 April 24, 2020 Section 3: Project Description Name: Address:17451 Twin Lakes Road Elk River, MN 55330 Target Population:Open Total Units:55 Subsidized Units: 8 LIHTC Units: 55 Unrestricted Units: 0 Handicap Units: 4 Utilities Included in Rent Heat: No Electric: No Water: Yes Sewer: Yes Trash: Yes Heat Type: Gas Construction Detail: Construction: New Building Type: Apartments Total Buildings: 1 Stories: 3 Site Acreage: 4.36 Construction Schedule: Beginning: May-21 Ending: May-22 Preleasing: Feb-22 Total Parking Spaces: Surface: 20 Garage (attached): 40 Fee: $0 Plans:NA-Assumed competetive at development Hillside Heights Apartments Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 8 April 24, 2020 Unit Configuration AMI Target # of Units # of PBRA Units # of Baths Type Average Sq. Footage Contract Rent Utility Allowance Gross Rent Max Gross Rent Maximum Income Total 55 8 $64,530 Summary 1 BR 13 8 $49,680 1 BR-Apt 30% 4 4 1.0 Apt 680 $722 $62 $784 $582 $24,840 1 BR-Apt 50% 3 1.0 Apt 680 $908 $62 $970 $970 $49,680 1 BR-Apt 50% 4 4 1.0 Apt 680 $722 $62 $784 $970 $49,680 1 BR-Apt 60% 2 1.0 Apt 680 $1,102 $62 $1,164 $1,164 $49,680 Summary 2 BR 28 0 $55,860 2 BR-Apt 50% 14 1.0 Apt 980 $1,083 $80 $1,163 $1,163 $55,860 2 BR-Apt* 60% 14 1.0 Apt 980 $1,316 $80 $1,396 $1,396 $55,860 Summary 3 BR 14 0 $64,530 3 BR-Apt 50% 7 2.0 Apt 1,280 $1,246 $98 $1,344 $1,344 $64,530 3 BR-Apt 60% 7 2.0 Apt 1,280 $1,515 $98 $1,613 $1,613 $64,530 -All units with 50% AMI targeting above are subject to 50% AMI rent restriction but 60% income restrictions. Unit Amenities Yes A/C - Central Yes Microwave Yes Patio/Balcony A/C - Wall Unit Yes Ceiling Fan Basement A/C - Sleeve Only Walk-In Closet Fireplace Garbage Disposal Yes Window - Mini-Blinds Yes High Speed Internet 0 Extra Fee Yes Dishwasher Window - Draperies Yes Individual Entry Development Amenities Clubhouse (separate building)Swimming Pool Yes Sports Courts (b-ball, tennis, v-ball, etc.) Yes Community Room Yes Playground/Tot Lot Yes On-Site Management Computer Center Yes Gazebo Secured Entry - Access Gate Yes Exercise/Fitness Room Yes Elevator Yes Secured Entry - Intercom or Camera Yes Community Kitchen(ette)Yes Exterior Storage Units Other Laundry Type Parking Type Coin-Operated Laundry Yes Surface Lot 20 Number of Spots Total In-Unit Hook-up Only Carport Extra Fee ? Yes In-Unit Washer/Dryer Yes Garage (attached)Extra Fee ? None Garage (detached)Extra Fee ? Proposed and Recommended Amenities $0 Other Information:  The project will offer 4 supportive housing units. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 9 April 24, 2020 Section 4: Market Area Delineation The Primary Market Area (PMA) is considered to be the area from which households residing near the site would look first for housing. The formulation of the PMA is influenced by the following factors proximity to nearby communities (i.e. the gravity model), natural barriers, political boundaries, employment centers, commuting patterns, proximity, transportation linkages and the availability of competitive housing (e.g. limited senior housing options generally increase the relative size of market areas for senior housing). The following demographic information, comparables, and demand analysis are based on the Primary Market Area (PMA) as defined below and outlined in the following maps. For comparison purposes data pertaining to the city of Elk River, Sherburne County and the state of Minnesota has also been included throughout the analysis. The proposal is located in the city of Elk River, Minnesota, in Census Tract 305.02 of Sherburne County. The PMA is defined by Census Tracts and encompasses an area northwest of Minneapolis including a portion of Census Tracts located in Wright, Hennepin, Sherburne and Anoka Counties. Major factors in defining the PMA were proximity to the site, socioeconomic conditions and competition with surrounding areas. Specifically, the site is located in the city of Elk River near the recently constructed Northstar commuter rail line. Declining proximity to the site was the major factor in limiting the PMA. Specifically, the PMA extends less than 8 miles from the site in all directions. Given the small geographic area it encompasses the PMA should be considered a conservative estimate of demand. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 10 April 24, 2020 Local Area Map Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 11 April 24, 2020 PMA Map Primary Market Area Site Location Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 12 April 24, 2020 Tract Map Primary Market Area Site Location Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 13 April 24, 2020 Section 5: Site Profile Site Characteristics The subject is located in the city of Elk River within southeast Sherburne County, Minnesota. Elk River is located approximately 8 miles north of Interstate 94. Both I-94 and US-10 provide linkages to Minneapolis. Additionally, the Northstar commuter rail station is located just south of the site. The site for the project is an occupied lot (with a home to be demolished) located southeast of Twin Lakes Road and 175th Avenue in a mixed-use area. Land to the north of the site is vacant and wooded, a single-family home in good condition is located to the immediate east, to the south is a tree line obscuring the site from what appears to be a poor condition residential building—given the limited visibility of this building it is not deemed a detriment to the subject. A short distance south of the site is a Northstar Light Rail Station as well as both Coachman Apartments and The Depot at Elk River Apartments (LIHTC projects detailed in a latter section of this report) and newer residential and commercial development. Marketability of Proposal The site is located in area attractive to its targeted tenants. The site is located near new, attractive Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 14 April 24, 2020 residential development with easy access to commercial projects located to the north of the site. Proximity to the commuter rail will likely enhance long-term growth and development in the area as well and is in close proximity to the site. Visibility and accessibility of the site The site is located a short distance north of the rail station, which should provide the site with good exposure and open opportunities for advertisement along the rail line. The site will be easily accessible via Twin Lake Road. Neighborhood Amenities/Retail/Services A commercial concentration anchored by a Walmart and Home Depot is located a short distance north of the site. Additional commercial development is located south of the site including Target. The light rail is located a short distance to the south providing linkages to the northwest and southeast. Health Care The nearest medical service provider is Allina Health Elk River Clinic, offering primary care physicians. The nearest major hospital is Mercy Hospital, located in Coon Rapids approximately 11 miles from the site. Mercy responds to a wide range of health needs with specialty services including behavioral health services, cancer care, heart and vascular services, orthopedics, neurosciences, and women's and children's services. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 15 April 24, 2020 Map: Aerial Map of Site Via Google Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 16 April 24, 2020 Map: Site and Adjacent Features Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 17 April 24, 2020 Map: Local Area and Amenities Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 18 April 24, 2020 Site Photos -Looking east at site -Looking south at site from northern edge of site Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 19 April 24, 2020 -Looking west from site from northern edge of site -Looking north from northern edge of site Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 20 April 24, 2020 -Looking east from site -Single-family home east of site Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 21 April 24, 2020 Section 6: Demographic Trends and Characteristics Demographic Overview Between 2000 and 2010 population increased in all areas. The rate of change in the PMA over this period was faster relative to the state as a whole which increased at a mild annual rate and also faster relative to the county which increased over this period. Between 2020 and 2025 ESRI forecasts that population will increase in all areas. Between 2010 and 2020 ESRI estimates that households increased in all areas. Between 2010 and 2025 ESRI forecasts that households will increase in all areas. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 22 April 24, 2020 Population Characteristics and Trends Population in the PMA represents 81.7 percent of the total population of the county. Between 2000 and 2010 population increased in all areas. Population in the PMA increased at an annual rate of 4.3 percent, representing a robust annual rate in MAP's estimation, while increasing in the county over this period at a rate of 3.2 percent, also considered a robust rate. The highest rate of growth among all submarkets was in the PMA at 4.3 percent relative to an overall increase in the state of 0.8 percent annually. The overall total change over this period was: 6,434, 27,460, 24,082 and 384,446 in the city, PMA, county and state respectively. Between 2010 and 2020 ESRI estimates that population increased in all areas. Over this period population in the PMA increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent while increasing in the county at a rate of 1.1 percent. The rate of change in the PMA over this period was faster relative to the state as a whole which increased at a mild annual rate and also faster relative to the county which increased over this period. Between 2020 and 2025 ESRI forecasts that population will increase in all areas. Population in the PMA will increase at an annual rate of 1.5 percent, representing a moderate annual rate in MAP's estimation, while increasing in the county over this period at a rate of 1.1 percent, also considered a moderate rate. The highest rate of forecasted growth among all submarkets is in the PMA at 1.5 percent relative to an overall increase in the state of 0.7 percent annually. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 23 April 24, 2020 Population Trends and Forecast City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN 2000 Population 16,540 52,649 64,417 4,919,479 2010 Population 22,974 80,109 88,499 5,303,925 Percent Change (2000 to 2010)38.9% 52.2% 37.4% 7.8% Total Change (2000 to 2010)6,434 27,460 24,082 384,446 Annual Change (2000 to 2010)643 2,746 2,408 38,445 Annualized Change (2000 to 2010)3.3% 4.3% 3.2% 0.8% 2020 Population Estimate 25,375 93,437 99,016 5,710,252 Percent Change (2010 to 2020)10.4% 16.6% 11.9% 7.7% Total Change (2010 to 2020)2,401 13,328 10,517 406,327 Annual Change (2010 to 2020)240 1,333 1,052 40,633 Annualized Change (2010 to 2020)1.0%1.6%1.1% 0.7% 2022 Population Forecast 25,855 96,103 101,120 5,791,518 Percent Change (2010 to 2022) 12.5% 20.0% 14.3% 9.2% Total Change (2010 to 2022) 2,881 15,994 12,621 487,593 Annual Change (2010 to 2022) 240 1,333 1,052 40,633 Annualized Change (2010 to 2022) 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2024 Population Forecast 26,335 98,768 103,223 5,872,783 Percent Change (2010 to 2024) 14.6% 23.3% 16.6% 10.7% Total Change (2010 to 2024) 3,361 18,659 14,724 568,858 Annual Change (2010 to 2024) 240 1,333 1,052 40,633 Annualized Change (2010 to 2024) 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2025 Population Forecast 26,575 100,101 104,275 5,913,416 Percent Change (2010 to 2025) 15.7% 25.0% 17.8% 11.5% Total Change (2010 to 2025) 3,601 19,992 15,776 609,491 Annual Change (2010 to 2025) 240 1,333 1,052 40,633 Annualized Change (2010 to 2025) 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 24 April 24, 2020 Age distribution characteristics are very similar within all three submarkets, with a heavy concentration in the under 24 age segment. The aging of the Baby Boom generation will and has begun to shift the national age distribution toward the 45 and over population segments in the coming years. This national trend is evident within all areas here, with the most rapid growth concentrated in the 65 and over age segments through 2025 on a percentage basis in the PMA, county and state. Population by Age Group City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN Age 24 and Under - 2010 8,312 29,509 33,278 1,786,862 Percent of total 2010 population 36.2% 36.8% 37.6% 33.7% Age Between 25 and 44 - 2010 6,788 24,075 26,237 1,396,680 Percent of total 2010 population 29.5% 30.1% 29.6% 26.3% Age Between 45 and 64 - 2010 5,727 20,370 21,677 1,437,262 Percent of total 2010 population 24.9% 25.4% 24.5% 27.1% Age 65 and Over - 2010 2,147 6,155 7,307 683,121 Percent of total 2010 population 9.3% 7.7% 8.3% 12.9% Age 24 and Under - 2025 9,122 34,453 36,025 1,841,743 Percent of total 2025 population 34.3% 34.4% 34.5% 31.1% Percent change (2010 to 2025)9.7% 16.8% 8.3% 3.1% Age Between 25 and 44 - 2025 7,705 28,830 30,269 1,561,141 Percent of total 2025 population 29.0% 28.8% 29.0% 26.4% Percent change (2010 to 2025)13.5% 19.8% 15.4% 11.8% Age Between 45 and 64 - 2025 6,288 24,669 24,665 1,436,055 Percent of total 2025 population 23.7% 24.6% 23.7% 24.3% Percent change (2010 to 2025)9.8% 21.1% 13.8% -0.1% Age 65 and Over - 2025 3,459 12,149 13,317 1,074,477 Percent of total 2025 population 13.0% 12.1% 12.8% 18.2% Percent change (2010 to 2025)61.1% 97.4% 82.2% 57.3% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 25 April 24, 2020 Household Characteristics and Trends Between 2010 and 2020 ESRI estimates that households increased in all areas. Over this period households in the PMA increased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent while increasing in the county at a rate of 1.1 percent. The rate of change in the PMA over this period was faster relative to the state as a whole which increased at a mild annual rate and also faster relative to the county which increased over this period. Between 2010 and 2025 ESRI forecasts that households will increase in all areas. Households in the PMA will increase at an annual rate of 1.5 percent, representing a moderate annual rate in MAP's estimation, while increasing in the county over this period at a rate of 1.1 percent, also considered a moderate rate. The highest rate of forecasted growth among all submarkets is in the PMA at 1.5 percent relative to an overall increase in the state of 0.7 percent annually. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 26 April 24, 2020 Household Trends and Forecast City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN 2000 Household 5,689 17,424 21,581 1,895,127 2010 Household 8,080 27,553 30,212 2,087,227 Percent Change (2000 to 2010)42.0% 58.1% 40.0% 10.1% Total Change (2000 to 2010)2,391 10,129 8,631 192,100 Annual Change (2000 to 2010)239 1,013 863 19,210 Annualized Change (2000 to 2010)3.6% 4.7% 3.4% 1.0% 2020 Household Estimate 8,919 32,107 33,807 2,238,299 Percent Change (2010 to 2020)10.4% 16.5% 11.9% 7.2% Total Change (2010 to 2020)839 4,554 3,595 151,072 Annual Change (2010 to 2020)84 455 359 15,107 Annualized Change (2010 to 2020)1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2022 Household Forecast 9,087 33,018 34,525 2,268,514 Percent Change (2010 to 2022)12.5% 19.8% 14.3% 8.7% Total Change (2010 to 2022)1,007 5,465 4,313 181,287 Annual Change (2010 to 2022)84 455 359 15,107 Annualized Change (2010 to 2022)1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2024 Household Forecast 9,254 33,929 35,244 2,298,728 Percent Change (2010 to 2024)14.5% 23.1% 16.7% 10.1% Total Change (2010 to 2024)1,174 6,376 5,032 211,501 Annual Change (2010 to 2024)84 455 359 15,107 Annualized Change (2010 to 2024)1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2025 Household Forecast 9,338 34,384 35,604 2,313,836 Percent Change (2010 to 2025)15.6% 24.8% 17.8% 10.9% Total Change (2010 to 2025)1,258 6,831 5,392 226,609 Annual Change (2010 to 2025)84 455 359 15,107 Annualized Change (2010 to 2025)1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 27 April 24, 2020 Average household size is estimated to have increased within all markets between 2010 and 2019 with very marginal changes. ESRI projections indicate ongoing marginal increases in average household size through 2025 within all areas. Average Household Size and Group Quarters City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN 2010 Average Household Size 2.76 2.88 2.86 2.48 2020 Average Household Size Estimate 2.77 2.89 2.86 2.49 Percent Change (2010 to 2020)0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 2022 Average Household Size Forecast 2.78 2.89 2.87 2.49 Percent Change (2010 to 2022)0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 2024 Average Household Size Forecast 2.78 2.89 2.87 2.50 Percent Change (2010 to 2024)0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 2025 Average Household Size Forecast 2.78 2.89 2.87 2.50 Percent Change (2010 to 2025)0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 2010 Group Quarters 640 793 2,174 135,395 2020 Group Quarters Estimate 637 791 2,165 133,245 Percent Change (2010 to 2020)-0.5% -0.3% -0.4% -1.6% 2022 Group Quarters Forecast 636 790 2,163 132,815 Percent Change (2010 to 2022)-0.6% -0.4% -0.5% -1.9% 2024 Group Quarters Forecast 636 790 2,161 132,385 Percent Change (2010 to 2024)-0.7% -0.4% -0.6% -2.2% 2025 Group Quarters Forecast 635 789 2,160 132,170 Percent Change (2010 to 2025)-0.7% -0.5% -0.6% -2.4% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 28 April 24, 2020 Between 2000 and 2010 renter penetration rates increased in the PMA relative to an increase in the county and increase in the state over this period. Increases over this period are consistent with the financial crisis of 2008 and lasting impacts on home ownership. Among all submarkets renter penetration is highest within the city at 19.8 percent relative to the lowest rate in the PMA at 12.9 percent and an overall rate of 27 percent in the state. Between 2010 and 2025 ESRI forecasts renter households will increase in the PMA despite with a decrease in the renter penetration rate over this period and relative to an increase in overall households. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 29 April 24, 2020 Renter Households City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN 2000 Renter Households 1,228 1,785 3,430 482,262 Percent of Total HHs 21.6% 10.2% 15.9% 25.4% 2010 Renter Households 1,602 3,557 5,018 563,368 Percent of Total HHs 19.8% 12.9% 16.6% 27.0% Percent Change (2000 to 2010)30.5% 99.3% 46.3% 16.8% Total Change (2000 to 2010)374 1,772 1,588 81,106 Annual Change (2000 to 2010)37 177 159 8,111 Annualized Change (2000 to 2010)2.7% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 2020 Renter Households Estimate 1,256 3,582 4,106 634,374 Percent of Total HHs 14.1% 11.2% 12.1% 28.3% Percent Change (2010 to 2020)-21.6% 0.7% -18.2% 12.6% Total Change (2010 to 2020)-347 25 -912 71,006 Annual Change (2010 to 2020)-35 3 -91 7,101 Annualized Change (2010 to 2020)-2.4% 0.1% -2.0% 1.2% 2022 Renter Households Forecast 1,297 3,579 4,216 625,853 Percent of Total HHs 14.3% 10.8% 12.2% 27.6% Percent Change (2010 to 2022)-19.0% 0.6% -16.0% 11.1% Total Change (2010 to 2022)-305 22 -802 62,485 Annual Change (2010 to 2022)-25 2 -67 5,207 Annualized Change (2010 to 2022)-1.7% 0.1% -1.4% 0.9% 2024 Renter Households Forecast 1,246 3,583 4,082 636,268 Percent of Total HHs 13.5% 10.6% 11.6% 27.7% Percent Change (2010 to 2024)-22.2% 0.7% -18.7% 12.9% Total Change (2010 to 2024)-356 26 -936 72,900 Annual Change (2010 to 2024)-25 2 -67 5,207 Annualized Change (2010 to 2024)-1.8% 0.1% -1.5% 0.9% 2025 Renter Households Forecast 1,221 3,585 4,015 641,475 Percent of Total HHs 13.1% 10.4% 11.3% 27.7% Percent Change (2010 to 2025)-23.8% 0.8% -20.0% 13.9% Total Change (2010 to 2025)-381 28 -1,003 78,107 Annual Change (2010 to 2025)-25 2 -67 5,207 Annualized Change (2010 to 2025)-1.8% 0.1% -1.5% 0.9% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 30 April 24, 2020 All submarkets share similar household size distributions, skewing to larger renter household sizes in the county and PMA relative to the city. The subject will offer one- to three-bedroom units appealing to a broad spectrum of ages and household sizes. Households by Tenure by Number of Persons in Household City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN Total 2010 Owner Occupied HUs 6,478 23,996 25,194 1,523,859 1-person HH 979 3,378 3,599 329,955 2-person HH 2,206 7,914 8,471 581,481 3-person HH 1,171 4,373 4,492 236,596 4-person HH 1,281 5,041 5,076 224,564 5-person HH 576 2,255 2,344 98,018 6-person HH 180 702 821 33,229 7-person or more HH 85 333 391 20,016 Imputed Avg. Owner HH Size*2.9 2.9 2.9 2.6 Total 2010 Renter Occupied HUs 1,602 3,557 5,018 563,368 1-person HH 602 1,260 1,736 254,053 2-person HH 411 863 1,265 142,905 3-person HH 269 576 848 71,198 4-person HH 195 479 675 50,057 5-person HH 81 237 305 24,984 6-person HH 30 91 119 11,029 7-person or more HH 14 51 70 9,142 Imputed Avg. Renter HH Size*2.3 2.5 2.4 2.1 Percent 2010 Owner Occupied HUs 6,478 23,996 25,194 1,523,859 1-person HH 15.1% 14.1% 14.3% 21.7% 2-person HH 34.1% 33.0% 33.6% 38.2% 3-person HH 18.1% 18.2% 17.8% 15.5% 4-person HH 19.8% 21.0% 20.1% 14.7% 5-person HH 8.9% 9.4% 9.3% 6.4% 6-person HH 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 2.2% 7-person or more HH 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% Percent 2010 Renter Occupied HUs 1,602 3,557 5,018 563,368 1-person HH 37.6% 35.4% 34.6% 45.1% 2-person HH 25.7% 24.3% 25.2% 25.4% 3-person HH 16.8% 16.2% 16.9% 12.6% 4-person HH 12.2% 13.5% 13.5% 8.9% 5-person HH 5.1% 6.7% 6.1% 4.4% 6-person HH 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 7-person or more HH 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.6% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI *-MAP estimated based on 7 persons per 7 or more HH size Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 31 April 24, 2020 Tenure by Age by Household City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN Total 2010 Owner Occupied HUs 6,478 23,996 25,194 1,523,859 15 to 24 years 106 388 473 19,639 25 to 34 years 1,029 3,985 4,175 192,401 35 to 44 years 1,544 6,075 6,160 276,241 45 to 54 years 1,696 6,395 6,597 374,959 55 to 64 years 1,079 4,029 4,323 317,264 Total Non-senior (64 years and under)5,454 20,872 21,728 1,180,504 65 years and over 1,024 3,124 3,466 343,355 Total 2010 Renter Occupied HUs 1,602 3,557 5,018 563,368 15 to 24 years 155 304 777 79,588 25 to 34 years 396 849 1,218 150,477 35 to 44 years 281 767 958 91,851 45 to 54 years 251 573 767 83,878 55 to 64 years 157 344 384 57,304 Total Non-senior (64 years and under)1,240 2,837 4,104 463,098 65 years and over 362 720 914 100,270 Percent 2010 Owner Occupied HUs 6,478 23,996 25,194 1,523,859 15 to 24 years 1.6% 1.6% 1.9% 1.3% 25 to 34 years 15.9% 16.6% 16.6% 12.6% 35 to 44 years 23.8% 25.3% 24.5% 18.1% 45 to 54 years 26.2% 26.7% 26.2% 24.6% 55 to 64 years 16.7% 16.8% 17.2% 20.8% Total Non-senior (64 years and under)84.2% 87.0% 86.2% 77.5% 65 years and over 15.8% 13.0% 13.8% 22.5% Percent 2010 Renter Occupied HUs 1,602 3,557 5,018 563,368 15 to 24 years 9.7% 8.5% 15.5% 14.1% 25 to 34 years 24.7% 23.9% 24.3% 26.7% 35 to 44 years 17.5% 21.6% 19.1% 16.3% 45 to 54 years 15.7% 16.1% 15.3% 14.9% 55 to 64 years 9.8% 9.7% 7.7% 10.2% Total Non-senior (64 years and under)77.4% 79.8% 81.8% 82.2% 65 years and over 22.6% 20.2% 18.2% 17.8% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 32 April 24, 2020 Household Income Median household income within all areas increased at a moderate annual rate between 2009 and estimated 2020 incomes—indicating little increase in purchasing power. Income levels within the county increased the most robustly over this period among submarkets. Incomes in the PMA are the highest among all markets. ESRI forecasts a tepid rate of growth for median income for all areas through 2025. Median Household Income City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN 2010 Median Household Income $72,944 $81,135 $71,704 $57,243 2020 Median Household Income Estimate $91,570 $97,958 $89,052 $70,723 Percent Change (2010 to 2020)25.5% 20.7% 24.2% 23.5% Annualized Change (2010 to 2020)2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2022 Median Household Income Forecast $95,295 $101,322 $92,522 $73,420 Percent Change (2010 to 2022)30.6% 24.9% 29.0% 28.3% Annualized Change (2010 to 2022)2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2025 Median Household Income Forecast $100,883 $106,369 $97,726 $77,464 Percent Change (2010 to 2025)38.3% 31.1% 36.3% 35.3% Annualized Change (2010 to 2025)2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 33 April 24, 2020 The tables below present household income by tenure for senior (ages 65 and over) households as well as total and total less senior households. Senior housing by income tenure is not available for the PMA. As a result, estimates below are based on extrapolations considering household income distribution by age, household growth, inflation rates and tenure. In particular, household income distribution based on 2010 Census data is applied to forecasted households for 2020 and 2022. Additionally, these income distributions are inflated to current year dollars based on the Consumer Price Index. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 34 April 24, 2020 Household Income Distribution by Tenure PMA Total Owner Renter Households Households Households Less than $11,399 644 441 203 Percent of 2022 Households 2.0%1.4%5.7% $11,399-$17,099 598 370 229 Percent of 2022 Households 1.8%1.1%6.4% $17,099-$22,799 504 408 96 Percent of 2022 Households 1.5%1.4%2.7% $22,799-$28,499 1,006 553 453 Percent of 2022 Households 3.0%1.6%12.7% $28,499-$39,899 1,909 1,450 460 Percent of 2022 Households 5.8%4.7%12.8% $39,899-$56,999 3,130 2,482 648 Percent of 2022 Households 9.5%8.2%18.1% $56,999-$85,499 5,405 4,803 603 Percent of 2022 Households 16.4%16.3%16.8% $85,500 or More 19,821 18,933 887 Percent of 2022 Households 60.0%65.3%24.8% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; Bureau of Labor and Statistics Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 35 April 24, 2020 Senior Household (65+) Income Distribution by Tenure PMA Total Senior Senior Owner Senior Renter Households Households Households Less than $11,399 179 146 33 Percent of 2022 Households 2.8%2.5%4.6% $11,399-$17,099 361 250 112 Percent of 2022 SR Households 5.6%4.3%15.4% $17,099-$22,799 303 277 25 Percent of 2022 SR Households 4.7%4.9%3.5% $22,799-$28,499 490 301 190 Percent of 2022 SR Households 7.6%5.1%26.2% $28,499-$39,899 984 831 153 Percent of 2022 SR Households 15.3%14.5%21.1% $39,899-$56,999 713 651 62 Percent of 2022 SR Households 11.1%11.4%8.5% $56,999-$85,499 987 926 61 Percent of 2022 SR Households 15.3%16.3%8.4% $85,500 or More 2,418 2,329 89 Percent of 2022 SR Households 37.6%41.0%12.3% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; Bureau of Labor and Statistics, MAP Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 36 April 24, 2020 Non-Senior Household Income by Tenure PMA Total Less Owner Less Renter Less SR Households SR Households SR Households Less than $11,399 465 295 170 Percent of Households 1.7%1.2%6.0% $11,399-$17,099 237 120 117 Percent of 2022 Households 0.9%0.5%4.1% $17,099-$22,799 201 130 71 Percent of 2022 Households 0.8%0.5%2.5% $22,799-$28,499 515 252 263 Percent of 2022 Households 1.9%1.1%9.2% $28,499-$39,899 926 619 306 Percent of 2022 Households 3.5%2.6%10.7% $39,899-$56,999 2,418 1,831 586 Percent of 2022 Households 9.1%7.7%20.5% $56,999-$85,499 4,418 3,877 542 Percent of 2022 Households 16.6%16.3%19.0% $85,500 or More 17,403 16,605 798 Percent of 2022 Households 65.5%70.0%28.0% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; Bureau of Labor and Statistics, MAP Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 37 April 24, 2020 Household Income Distribution by Tenure PMA Total Owner Renter Households Households Households Less than $9,999 537 335 202 Percent of 2010 Households 2.0%1.4%5.7% $10,000 -$14,999 499 272 227 Percent of 2010 Households 1.8%1.1%6.4% $15,000 - $19,999 420 325 96 Percent of 2010 Households 1.5%1.4%2.7% $20,000 - $24,999 839 389 450 Percent of 2010 Households 3.0%1.6%12.7% $25,000 - $34,999 1,593 1,137 457 Percent of 2010 Households 5.8%4.7%12.8% $35,000 - $49,999 2,612 1,968 644 Percent of 2010 Households 9.5%8.2%18.1% $50,000 - $74,999 4,510 3,912 599 Percent of 2010 Households 16.4%16.3%16.8% $75,000 and up 16,540 15,658 882 Percent of 2010 Households 60.0%65.3%24.8% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; Bureau of Labor and Statistics Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 38 April 24, 2020 Section 7: Economic Analysis Economic Overview The proposal will offer units targeted at low and moderate income households within Elk River, within the Minneapolis MSA. Economic analysis is provided for the Minneapolis MSA, city of Minneapolis and Sherburne County, which are deemed the most insightful for the site’s economic viability. In addition, information for the State of Minnesota and United States are illustrated to put these trends into greater context. Local economics are largely driven by the national economy, particularly for larger, more urban areas with greater economic diversification. This is visually evident in the unemployment rate comparison presented in the following pages (i.e., movements in the unemployment rate for the United States coincide with state and local movements). While generally moving in tandem with national levels, the unemployment rate within Minnesota and submarkets has been lower in comparison to national levels in recent years. The national economy suffered a credit crisis in 2008, which led to worsening economic conditions including declining consumer confidence, continued pressure on an already fragile housing sector, declining consumer spending and a dramatic decline in automotive purchases all contributing to a worsening in economic conditions throughout the nation. Unemployment rates have been declining for the past ten years contributing to a more stable economic environment with low unemployment rates evident in the city and county. At the time of completion of this report, the United States and global economy are experiencing a tumultuous period marked by increasing unemployment claims as a result of shelter in place orders in various states. The impact of this will likely be significant in the near term despite government efforts to mitigate the impact through stimulus and other preventative measures. Analysis throughout this report is based on economic conditions returning to growth and greater stability at the time of market entry for the proposal. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 39 April 24, 2020 Economic Characteristics and Trends The subject is located within Elk River, with a high concentration of employment located a short distance to the southeast in and near Minneapolis. Within the PMA, approximately 20 percent of workers find employment within a less than 15 minute travel time, while an additional 27 percent of workers find employment within a 30 minute radius. Commute times within the city and PMA are higher relative to the county and state as a whole. Employee Commute Times City of County of State of Elk River PMA Sherburne MN 2010 Total Workers via Census 12,460 46,085 47,808 2,812,166 Travel Time: < 15 Minutes 2,828 9,569 9,514 877,396 Percent of Workers 22.7% 20.8% 19.9% 31.2% Travel Time: 15 - 29 Minutes 3,202 12,489 13,673 1,060,187 Percent of Workers 25.7% 27.1% 28.6% 37.7% Travel Time: 30 - 44 Minutes 3,103 13,268 10,900 539,936 Percent of Workers 24.9% 28.8% 22.8% 19.2% Travel Time: 45 - 59 Minutes 1,707 6,300 6,358 185,603 Percent of Workers 13.7% 13.7% 13.3% 6.6% Travel Time: 60+ Minutes 1,620 4,453 7,315 149,045 Percent of Workers 13.0% 9.7% 15.3% 5.3% Avg Travel Time in Minutes for Commuters 31 30 32 23 Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau; ESRI Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 40 April 24, 2020 Industry employment concentrations in the city, county and state are illustrated below with national trends presented to put these figures into better context. Within all areas the highest concentration of employment is within the services sector encompassing education and health services as well as professional and business services. Industry Employment Concentrations City of County of State of Elk River Sherburne MN USA Ag, forestry, fishing and hunting, and mining 1.2% 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% Construction 7.1% 8.0% 5.7% 6.8% Manufacturing 14.1% 15.2% 13.5% 10.8% Wholesale trade 4.1% 3.7% 2.9% 2.9% Retail trade 15.4% 13.7% 11.2% 11.5% Transp and warehousing, and util 5.7% 6.3% 4.6% 5.1% Information 0.1% 0.8% 1.8% 2.3% Fin and ins, and r.estate and rent/lease 5.8% 5.6% 7.2% 6.9% Prof, sci, and mngt, and admin and waste 8.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.5% Ed services, and hlth care and soc assist 23.6% 21.9% 24.8% 22.5% Arts, ent, and rec, and accommod/food 7.8% 7.3% 8.4% 9.0% Other services, except public administration 4.4% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% Public administration 2.4% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% Total Occupations Mngmt, bus, sci, and arts 38.3% 34.8% 39.8% 35.7% Service occupations 14.8% 15.4% 16.4% 17.5% Sales and office occupations 28.5% 23.9% 22.9% 25.1% Nat res, construction, and maintenance 7.8% 10.2% 7.9% 9.6% Prod, transp, and material moving 10.7% 15.7% 12.9% 12.2% Source: Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 41 April 24, 2020 The largest employers in the Twin Cities metro area are illustrated below. A majority of residents within the PMA find employment within the Twin Cities, where the majority of employment opportunities are concentrated. Major employers in the Twin Cities metro area are detailed below and include government, health care, financial services, retail and manufacturing. The Twin Cities’ diverse employment base makes it somewhat recession-resilient. Top Employers within Twin Cities Metro Employer Employees (rounded to nearest 1,000)Product/Service State of Minnesota 33,000 Government United States Federal Government 25,000 Government Allina Health System 21,000 Health Care Wells Fargo & Co.19,000 Financial Services Target 18,000 Retail Fairview Health Services 17,000 Health Care University of Minnesota 17,000 Education 3M 15,000 Manufacturing Health Partners 9,000 Health Care/Insurance US Bancorp 8,000 Financial Services Sources: Minneapolis St. Paul Business Journal, Star Tribune, Employer Websites Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 42 April 24, 2020 Graph: Unemployment Rate Comparison Graph: Industry Employment Concentrations Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 43 April 24, 2020 Annual Labor Force and Employment Statistics Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 44 April 24, 2020 Monthly Labor Force and Employment Statistics (Year/Year) Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 45 April 24, 2020 Wages by Occupation Wages by occupation within the Minneapolis MSA are illustrated below. Wages are ordered from highest to lowest. Based on the subject's LIHTC income range approximately 3/4ths of occupations would be income qualified for the proposal. Wages by Occupation-Minneapolis MSA Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 46 April 24, 2020 Section 8: Supply Analysis and Characteristics Building Permit Trends Information concerning the issuance of building permits can be used to analyze trends in building; the table below illustrates this data within Elk River, Sherburne County and the state of Minnesota. Construction dropped off markedly in all areas from 2005-6, consistent with the slowing housing market across the nation, but with figures from 2012-13 forward showing a recovery within the city and county generally accelerating through 2019 but remaining below historical horizon highs. Building Permits Source: HUD Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 47 April 24, 2020 Local Rental Market Analysis MAP completed a survey of existing rental projects within the market area in April 2020. Leasing specialists of developments within or near the market area were contacted to identify rental housing trends as well as the most competitive projects within the area. Student, special needs and senior only projects are excluded from the survey. Lanesboro Heights Townhomes could not be reached for updated information, so information from a May 2019 survey is utilized. The area was also surveyed regarding current developments under construction; these pipeline projects are discussed below. A total of 19 projects responded to the survey; of these, 9 reported operating under LIHTC guidelines for all or a portion of units at an average occupancy of 99.8 percent. The survey encompassed 1,175 units with 433 LIHTC units. The overall occupancy rate for the area was 98.9 percent indicative of strong demand for rental housing throughout the area. The average build year for the surveyed facilities was 1994 while the average build year for LIHTC facilities was 2003. For those facilities providing information, the rental stock was weighted toward two-bedroom units which represent 47 percent of the total housing stock. Comparable Project Analysis The most comparable projects to the proposal include general occupancy units operating under income restriction guidelines within the same area as the proposal and offering similar units. Among LIHTC projects those in closest proximity and considered the most comparable to the subject are included—excluding more dated projects. Additionally, two market rate projects are included to gauge hypothetical market rents for the subject. Detailed information on these projects is presented in the following pages. The overall occupancy rate for the most comparable projects is 99.7 percent. The subject will offer one- to three-bedroom general occupancy units with comparable amenities and unit sizes to comparable facilities. The development will be the newest project in the area, commanding a premium relative to more dated competitive set projects. Among competitive set projects Coachman limits rents to 50 percent AMI (for 60 percent AMI income restrictions) and these units are shifted in the rent grid. Considering adjustments and projections to market entry the subject’s rents are consistent with MAP’s estimated achievable LIHTC rents and are appropriately positioned relative to Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 48 April 24, 2020 hypothetical market. Competitive rents and strong demand for affordable housing in the area offer support for the success of the proposal. Competitive Environment Credit restrictions particularly for lower income buyers, as well as initial money cost have made purchasing a home outside the reach of potential buyers who would fall within the qualified income range. Thus, competition between rental and ownership options are limited for the subject within the qualified income range, making rental housing the most viable option for low to moderate income families. Given the high occupancy evident among comparable properties the subject will have no impact on existing housing in the area. Concessions Currently Offered and Trends in Rents No comparable projects reported concessions. Among the comparable projects, rent increases of approximately 5 to 15 percent over the past year were observed based on MAP’s previous contact with these facilities. Pipeline Considerations The Crossing II is under construction and will enter the market in 2020. This project offers 38 general occupancy units and these units are deducted from the demand analysis in the following section. Additionally, Elk River Lodge received an allocation in 2019, this project will offer 60 units and is deducted from the demand analysis. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 49 April 24, 2020 Rental Housing Survey-Competitive Set Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 50 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 51 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 52 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 53 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 54 April 24, 2020 Rental Housing Survey-Total Survey Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 55 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 56 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 57 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 58 April 24, 2020 Comparable Project Information Map: Comparable Projects Comp ID Project Name Program Address City State Phone 3 Dove Terrace LIHTC 1227 School St NW # 110 Elk River MN (763) 241-0020 4 Dove Tree Apartments LIHTC 1105 Lions Park Dr NW Elk River MN (763) 241-0495 5 Jackson Place LIHTC 300 Jackson Place Elk River MN (763) 633-1955 7 The Depot At Elk River Station LIHTC 10653 172nd Ave NW Elk River MN (763) 441-5445 8 The Crossing At Big Lake Station LIHTC 115-A Henry Rd Big Lake MN (763) 263-0449 9 Coachmen Elk River LIHTC 17250 Twin Lake Rd Elk River MN (763) 260-8864 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 59 April 24, 2020 Map: Surveyed Rental Projects Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 60 April 24, 2020 Comp ID Project Name Program Address City State Phone 1 Albertville Meadows Apartments LIHTC 10740 County Road 37 NE # 103Albertville MN (763) 497-5009 2 Albertville Meadows Townhomes LIHTC 10732 County Road 37 Albertville MN (763) 497-5009 3 Dove Terrace LIHTC 1227 School St NW # 110 Elk River MN (763) 241-0020 4 Dove Tree Apartments LIHTC 1105 Lions Park Dr NW Elk River MN (763) 241-0495 5 Jackson Place LIHTC 300 Jackson Place Elk River MN (763) 633-1955 6 Leighton'S Landing LIHTC 210 Maple Lane Big Lake MN (320) 252-6262 7 The Depot At Elk River Station LIHTC 10653 172nd Ave NW Elk River MN (763) 441-5445 8 The Crossing At Big Lake Station LIHTC 115-A Henry Rd Big Lake MN (763) 263-0449 9 Coachmen Elk River LIHTC 17250 Twin Lake Rd Elk River MN (763) 260-8864 10 Evans Meadows Apartments MARKET 355 Evans Ave NW # 206 Elk River MN (763) 441-6299 11 Heartland Pointe Apartments MARKET 13625 Bradley Blvd Becker MN (763) 261-3489 12 Lake Orono Estates MARKET 18594 Gary St NW Elk River MN (763) 441-8356 13 Lions Park MARKET 1001 School St NW Elk River MN (763) 324-0163 14 Monticello Village Apts MARKET 727 Minnesota St Monticello MN (763) 295-2226 15 Preserve At Commerce MARKET 21515 Maple Ave Rogers MN (763) 428-8150 16 Ridgewood Manor Apartments MARKET 11931 191 1/2 Ave NW Elk River MN (763) 441-8510 17 Sugar Maples Apartments MARKET 13600 Commerce Blvd Rogers MN (763) 428-4683 18 Elk Ridge Manor Apartments RD 847 Freeport Ave NW # 101 Elk River MN (763) 274-2700 19 Lanesboro Heights Townhomes BOI-HUD 11798 Highland Rd NW # A Elk River MN (763) 441-2642 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 61 April 24, 2020 Comparable Project Summary Sheets Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 62 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 63 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 64 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 65 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 66 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 67 April 24, 2020 Section 9: Local Perspective MAP surveyed local apartment managers in the course of market study completion and surveyed recent LIHTC allocations within the PMA (summarized in a preceding section). These interviews are included throughout the analysis. Additionally, MAP has reviewed local comparable projects with the results of these projects incorporated throughout the report. MAP was unable to reach the local planning department for information on pipeline projects in the area. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 68 April 24, 2020 Section 10: Demand Analysis Demand for Rental Units Demand estimates for the proposal are outlined in the following pages based on qualified income ranges for the proposal. Income ranges are based on an affordability ratio of 35 percent for family and 40 percent of income to gross rent for seniors and maximum LIHTC rents and income for Sherburne County. Demand is based on age and income qualified renter households within the PMA. Two ratios are used to quantify potential demand for the proposal. These ratios include the capture rate which measures the ratio of units at the proposal to age- size- and income-qualified renter households within the PMA. The second measure is the penetration rate, which measures the number of units in the proposal plus comparable pipeline units relative to annual demand as outlined above. Demand for 30 percent AMI units is not presented as these units are over maximum allowable gross (consistent with the project based subsidy for these units), creating nonsensical results. Based on these estimates, the proposal’s demand estimates are within acceptable thresholds. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 69 April 24, 2020 Absorption Rate Reported absorption among competitive set projects has been robust. Maple Village reported one month absorption of 102 units, the Depot at Elk River Station reported 53 units in one month and Coachmen Elk River reported absorption of 53 units in one month. Considering these rates as well as absorption based on movership ratios and estimated capture rates among income qualified households, it is conservatively estimated the subject would be fully absorbed within 5-6 months of market entry. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 70 April 24, 2020 Demand Estimates Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 71 April 24, 2020 Market and Achievable Rent Market and achievable rents for the subject are illustrated below. These rents were estimated based on competitive positioning of the project in the area. An analysis utilizing both LIHTC and market rents is presented on the following pages to help illustrate the competitive positioning of the subject and its positioning as a hypothetical market rate project and in comparison to similar LIHTC projects. Rents are adjusted based on appeal (including location, amenities and unit design), included utilities, unit size and where applicable by maximum allowable gross and a minimum 10 percent market advantage when evident within the market. Rents are projected to market entry based on 3.5 percent annual appreciation. Site location, condition and appeal scores are relative to the subject (i.e., the subject is always rated as 5). Based on these analyses proposed contract rents are consistent with estimated achievable LIHTC rent and significantly discounted from hypothetical market rents. Estimated LIHTC and hypothetical market rent represent an assessment of what a comparable unit is receiving within the market. It is not an endorsement of rent at that level as the project was analyzed considering contract rent. Changes in contract rent will impact absorption, demand statistics and competitive positioning of the proposal and would necessitate additional analysis. Rent Derivation Proposed AMI Target Proposed Subject Contract Rent # of Units # of Baths Average Sq. Footage Estimated Achievable Contract Rent Max Achievable LIHTC Rent Estimated Achievable Market Rent Market Advantage Summary 1 BR 1 BR-Apt 30% $722 4 1.0 680 $557 $520 $1,351 47% 1 BR-Apt 50% $908 3 1.0 680 $973 $908 $1,351 33% 1 BR-Apt 50% $722 4 1.0 680 $973 $908 $1,351 47% 1 BR-Apt 60% $1,102 2 1.0 680 $1,177 $1,102 $1,351 18% Summary 2 BR 2 BR-Apt 50% $1,083 14 1.0 980 $1,160 $1,083 $1,609 33% 2 BR-Apt 60% $1,316 14 1.0 980 $1,354 $1,316 $1,609 18% Summary 3 BR 3 BR-Apt 50% $1,246 7 2.0 1,280 $1,335 $1,246 $1,917 35% 3 BR-Apt 60% $1,515 7 2.0 1,280 $1,519 $1,515 $1,917 21% Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 72 April 24, 2020 Rent Derivation Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 73 April 24, 2020 Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 74 April 24, 2020 Future Rental Market and Associated Risks The development of affordable housing is appropriate based on demand within the area. Given demographic growth throughout the area as well as obsolescence of existing units and the excess demand evident for affordable housing evident in the market survey, additional rental housing is likely to be in demand in coming years. The development of affordable housing is appropriate based on demand within the area. Since MHFA determines the number of competitive projects that come online, risks from future unsustainable development are limited. Recommendations and Conclusions Based on the analysis within this report, the proposal will be successful as is, no changes are deemed necessary. The site is located in a mixed-use area but with LIHTC residential uses located a short distance from the site. Amenities and employment opportunities are located in close proximity with easy access to Minneapolis to the southeast. Household growth in the area is forecasted to increase through 2025 with the rate within the PMA exceeding the overall rate of the state and county. The Minneapolis MSA has outperformed the state average in terms of the unemployment rate in recent years and employment has increased annually each of the past nine years. Derived demand statistics for the subject suggest sufficient demand to absorb the proposal. Finally, supply side data indicates rents for the subject will be competitively positioned in the area and the subject will be well positioned in the market and competitive with comparable projects which have reported very strong occupancy indicative of strong demand in the area. As a result, the development of the proposal to more adequately serve the PMA’s population is appropriate. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 75 April 24, 2020 Section 11: Special Needs Analysis The subject will offer four special needs units targeted at homeless persons, which will operate with a project subsidy eliminating the issue of affordability for these units. The service provider for the special needs units will be Rise. Sherburne County, Minnesota since the late 1800's. They have extensive experience Market Area Delineation and Demand for Units Service providers for special needs groups generally serve large geographic areas based on city, county boundaries or larger geographic areas. As such, the market area for the special needs units is larger in comparison to the other units offered at the proposal. In this case Continuum of Care has identified Sherburne County as falling within the Central Area. Population and Income Distribution Because of the nature of special needs persons, detailed statistics for this population are difficult to obtain. MAP has reviewed studies focused on Homelessness in Minnesota and Sherburne County in particular from both Wilder Research and The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Continuum of Care Program. Specific references to incomes are not made in either report. Based on a review of recent reports as well as anecdotal evidence presented to MAP in conducting interviews with special needs service providers throughout the Minneapolis metro area generally, special needs populations exhibit very low incomes and are more highly concentrated among the middle age cohorts (i.e., aged 26 to 40) in comparison to the general population and are employed in low paying positions (approximately $20,000 per year income or less) and/or reliant on economic and familial assistance. The Continuum of Care 2012 Heading Home Hennepin report indicates targeting housing at very low income households, considered to be 30 percent AMI or less (approximately $21,720 for a one-person household in 2020), consistent with anecdotal evidence presented to MAP in interviews with various special needs services providers historically. Comparable Special Needs Housing Special needs persons often have difficulty in finding affordable housing. Because of numerous Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 76 April 24, 2020 problems (including low incomes, inconsistent rental histories, and physical and mental disabilities) special needs persons are often not given fair consideration in finding affordable housing. This problem has received increasing recognition in recent years; however, substantial need for additional facilities exists. Demand for Special Needs Units Based on the data presented above, it is estimated the special needs portion of the development will fill quickly, within 4 months of the development entering the market. The subject will offer four special needs units targeted at homeless persons, which will operate with a project subsidy eliminating the issue of affordability for these units. The Continuum of Care's January 2018 point-in-time survey of homelessness identified 2,091 families and 105 households unsheltered within the Central Region. While the Wilder Research Center's 2018 Minnesota Homeless Study found 944 people homeless in the Central Region, with 321 persons not in shelters relative. The proposal’s units will help meet this demand. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 77 April 24, 2020 Section 12: Other Requirements Date of Report: April 24, 2020 Date of Site Visit: April 5, 2020 Field Work, Report and Conclusions Prepared by: Chris Vance Market Analyst Professionals 222 South 9th Street, Suite 1600 Minneapolis, MN 55402 PH: 248-515-0496 cavance@mindspring.com chris.vance@mapyourproject.com Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 78 April 24, 2020 Qualifications of the Market Analyst CHRIS VANCE EDUCATION: Michigan State University Master of Arts, Economics  Concentration in Industrial Organization  Doctorate level curriculum Oakland University Bachelor of Science, Economics  Concentrations in Finance and Computer Science  Graduated with Honors EMPLOYMENT HISTORY: MARKET ANALYST PROFESSIONALS, LLC, a real estate market research company Founder (12/03 to Present)  Founder  Custom report development. COMMUNITY RESEARCH GROUP, LLC, a real estate market research company. Market Analyst/Consultant (2/00 to12/03)  Prepared real estate market feasibility studies considering site characteristics, economic and demographic trends, market forecasts and project guidelines.  Developed analytical tools and improved methodologies.  Provided project recommendations based on analysis of market area.  Gathered information utilizing secondary market research and through personal interviews. J.D. POWER AND ASSOCIATES, an automotive marketing information firm. Analyst-Economic Analysis in Forecasting Group (6/98 to 9/99) Senior Analyst-Economic Analysis in Forecasting Group (9/99 to 2/00)  Wrote detailed analysis of economic, political and automotive market conditions of global economies for monthly, quarterly and annual reports.  Developed forecasting models and analytical tools to enhance forecasting capabilities using computer, data collection and analysis skills.  Analyzed the impact of automotive market dynamics on automotive sales and competition, including pricing and profitability analysis.  Forecasted economic growth and automotive sales for North and South America and Asia.  Traveled to Asia and Europe as needed to participate in the company’s strategic growth and product positioning decisions. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 79 April 24, 2020 Bibliography 1990/2000/2010 U.S. Census of Population and Housing, U.S. Census Bureau 2019/2024 Demographic Forecasts, ESRI American Housing Survey, U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Economic information – Bureau of Labor and Statistics Local roadway maps—Microsoft Streets and Trips 2010 Interviews with local officials, managers and leasing specialists of local rental developments Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 80 April 24, 2020 Addendum A Market Study Checklist The following components have been addressed in this market study. The page number of each component is noted below. Each component is fully discussed on that page or pages. In cases where the item is not relevant the author had indicated ‘N/A’ or not applicable. Where a conflict with or variation from Minnesota Housing Market Study Guidelines exists, the author has indicated a ‘V” (variation) with a comment explaining the conflict. Component Pages 1 Unit mix and pro forma rents 8 2 Description and justification of Primary Market Area 9 3 Income band for subject property 70 4 Demand projections 70 5 Comparison of subject to comparable market rate and affordable properties 47-66 6 Forecasted achievable market rents for the subject property 84 7 Required capture rate 70 8 Forecasted lease up schedule 69 9 Recommended changes to the project NA Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 81 April 24, 2020 Addendum B Minnesota Housing Market Study Certification The undersigned certify that the following is true and correct: 1 That the Market Analyst is knowledgeable and experienced in the development of affordable rental properties. 2 That the Market Analyst conducted and was the primary author of the attached low income housing tax credit market study report (“Report”) for Hillside Heights Apartments (“Project”) for Community Housing Development Corporation (Developer/owner name). 3 That the Report was completed on April 24, 2020. 4 That to the best of the Market Analyst knowledge, all data contained in the Report is accurate. 5 That the Market Analyst has made a physical inspection of the area in which the Project will be located, reviewed all relevant data, and independently established the conclusions for the Report. 6 That all projections contained in the Report were based on current professionally accepted methodology. 7 That the Market Analyst has no financial interest in the proposed Project. 8 That the Market Analyst ‘s fee for conducting the Report, and the findings and conclusions contained therein , were not contingent upon the proposed Project being selected by the Minnesota Housing Finance Agency. 9 That it is the Market Analyst’s unbiased and professional opinion that there is sufficient demand for the Project as of the completion date of the Report. By: ________________________________ (Authorized Representative-Market Analyst) Title: ___Founder_____________________ Date: ___April 24, 2020________________ Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 82 April 24, 2020 Addendum: Market Study Analysis and Consideration: Derivation of achievable HTC Rents The most comparable projects to the proposal include general occupancy units operating under income restriction guidelines within the same area as the proposal and offering similar units. Among LIHTC projects those in closest proximity and considered the most comparable to the subject are included—excluding more dated projects. Additionally, two market rate projects are included to gauge hypothetical market rents for the subject. Detailed information on these projects is presented in the following pages. The overall occupancy rate for the most comparable projects is 99.7 percent. The subject will offer one- to three-bedroom general occupancy units with comparable amenities and unit sizes to comparable facilities. The development will be the newest project in the area, commanding a premium relative to more dated competitive set projects. Among competitive set projects Coachman limits rents to 50 percent AMI (for 60 percent AMI income restrictions) and these units are shifted in the rent grid. Considering adjustments and projections to market entry the subject’s rents are consistent with MAP’s estimated achievable LIHTC rents and are appropriately positioned relative to hypothetical market. Competitive rents and strong demand for affordable housing in the area offer support for the success of the proposal. Market and Achievable Rent Market and achievable rents for the subject are illustrated below. These rents were estimated based on competitive positioning of the project in the area. An analysis utilizing both LIHTC and market rents is presented on the following pages to help illustrate the competitive positioning of the subject and its positioning as a hypothetical market rate project and in comparison to similar LIHTC projects. Rents are adjusted based on appeal (including location, amenities and unit design), included utilities, unit size and where applicable by maximum allowable gross and a minimum 10 percent market advantage when evident within the market. Rents are projected to market entry based on 3.5 percent annual appreciation. Site location, condition and appeal scores are relative to the subject (i.e., the subject is always rated as 5). Based on these analyses proposed contract rents are consistent with estimated achievable LIHTC rent and significantly discounted from hypothetical market rents. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 83 April 24, 2020 Proposed AMI Target Proposed Subject Contract Rent # of Units # of Baths Average Sq. Footage Estimated Achievable Contract Rent Max Achievable LIHTC Rent Estimated Achievable Market Rent Market Advantage Summary 1 BR 1 BR-Apt 30% $722 4 1.0 680 $557 $520 $1,351 47% 1 BR-Apt 50% $908 3 1.0 680 $973 $908 $1,351 33% 1 BR-Apt 50% $722 4 1.0 680 $973 $908 $1,351 47% 1 BR-Apt 60% $1,102 2 1.0 680 $1,177 $1,102 $1,351 18% Summary 2 BR 2 BR-Apt 50% $1,083 14 1.0 980 $1,160 $1,083 $1,609 33% 2 BR-Apt 60% $1,316 14 1.0 980 $1,354 $1,316 $1,609 18% Summary 3 BR 3 BR-Apt 50% $1,246 7 2.0 1,280 $1,335 $1,246 $1,917 35% 3 BR-Apt 60% $1,515 7 2.0 1,280 $1,519 $1,515 $1,917 21% Demand Analysis Demand estimates for the proposal are based on qualified income ranges for the proposal. Income ranges are based on an affordability ratio of 35 percent for family and 40 percent of income to gross rent for seniors and maximum LIHTC rents and income for Sherburne County. Demand is based on age and income qualified renter households within the PMA. Two ratios are used to quantify potential demand for the proposal. These ratios include the capture rate which measures the ratio of units at the proposal to age- size- and income-qualified renter households within the PMA. The second measure is the penetration rate, which measures the number of units in the proposal plus comparable pipeline units relative to annual demand as outlined above. Demand for 30 percent AMI units is not presented as these units are over maximum allowable gross (consistent with the project based subsidy for these units), creating nonsensical results. Based on these estimates, the proposal’s demand estimates are within acceptable thresholds. Absorption Rate Reported absorption among competitive set projects has been robust. Maple Village reported one month absorption of 102 units, the Depot at Elk River Station reported 53 units in one month and Coachmen Elk River reported absorption of 53 units in one month. Considering these rates as well as absorption based on movership ratios and estimated capture rates among income qualified households, it is conservatively estimated the subject would be fully absorbed within 5-6 months of market entry. Hillside Heights Apartments, Elk River, Minnesota Market Analyst Professionals, LLC 84 April 24, 2020 Demand Estimates ABOUT CHDC Community Housing Development Corporation's (CHDC) mission is to sustain high-quality and affordable homes, to enhance the community over the long term, and to create and maintain healthy living. CHDC takes a unique, businesslike approach to affordable housing by keeping overhead costs small and structuring its properties and operations to be financially self-sustaining over the long term. CHDC, founded in 1991, has provided stability to Minnesota residents and communities for more than 25 years as a nonprofit developer and owner. CHDC owns more than 3,500 affordable housing units. More than half of its units are Section 8 and approximately 2,000 are LIHTC. RECENT CHDC PARTNERSHIP PROJECTS VETERANS EAST CHDC worked with the Department of Veterans Affairs to construct Veterans East on the Minneapolis VA Medical Center campus. Veterans East provides 100 units of permanent, affordable housing to a single adult population of homeless with a priority placement offered for veterans. Veterans East operates successfully with some of the lowest unsubsidized rents anywhere in the metro at $435/month. It serves a population that thrives in an environment that is supportive, but not service-intensive. Veterans East opened in 2017. CORNERSTONE CREEK CHDC and Jewish Housing and Programming (J-HAP) partnered to create 45 units in Golden Valley for developmentally disabled individuals. J-HAP was formed to serve the life-long needs of adults with developmental disabilities, with progressive amenities that allow individuals to live independently, increase self-esteem and thrive within a Jewish community that is open to all. Cornerstone Creek was made possible through J-HAP's vision and CHDC's affordable housing expertise. Cornerstone Creek opened January 2017. SELBY MILTON VICTORIA CHDC is partnering with the Rondo Community Land Trust (Rondo CLT) to develop Selby Milton Victoria, a two- building project in St. Paul. The project will create 34 units of affordable housing for seniors with commercial space in each building. 70% of the units are affordable to seniors at 30% AMI and below, making the project one of the most affordable new developments in the St. Paul. Rondo CLT, founded in 1993, provided insight into the needs of the Rondo community. The commercial space will promote local economic development through small business recruitment. The building will be complete in early 2019. ELIZABETH FLANNERY, PRESIDENT Ms. Flannery has 27 years of increasingly responsible experience in real estate development. This has included positions with The National Equity Fund, CommonBond Communities, Sherman Associates, and Everwood Development LLC. Prior to beginning her real estate career, she worked in Mexico and Central America on humanitarian relief efforts. Ms. Flannery is a graduate of Northwestern University, with a degree in Journalism from the Medill School at Northwestern. HEIDI RATHMANN-SMITH, SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT For the past three years, Ms. Rathmann has provided oversight to projects in the CHDC pipeline by reviewing project feasibility, gaining public and political support, ensuring ongoing communication, and effective problem solving regarding the day-to-day activities of structuring and closing projects. Ms. Rathmann also provides project management for new affordable housing and community development projects in CHDC’s pipeline including general real estate activities, structuring the financing, and raising and closing on the capital funds. Ms. Rathmann began the first 10 years of her career in affordable housing at the Dakota County Community Development Agency, Mercy Housing, and Greater Minnesota Housing Fund. For 10 years, she was an independent development consultant for both for-profit and non- profit developers providing expertise on affordable housing development. Ms. Rathmann has a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration and a Master of Arts in Urban Studies. DAN WALSH, VICE PRESIDENT, HOUSING DEVELOPMENT Mr. Walsh works on portfolio recapitalizations and new project development. He focuses on sales and marketing and manages all phases of the development process including site identification and control, partner support, financial structuring, design, entitlements, closing and construction monitoring. Mr. Walsh has more than eight years of experience with different housing programs and multifamily development including positions with the Minnesota Housing Finance Agency; Aeon, a Minneapolis based non-profit affordable housing developer; and Donjek, a local consulting firm focused on urban development. Mr. Walsh has a Master’s Degree in Public Policy from Harvard University with a concentration in Housing and Urban Development. He got his undergraduate degree from the University of Wisconsin - Madison. CHRIS MAIDA, DIRECTOR OF ASSET MANAGEMENT Mr. Maida’s work is focused on preserving and promoting the long-term sustainability of the CHDC housing portfolio. His efforts include monitoring portfolio performance, implementing strategies to add value for residents and properties, risk mitigation, and working with partners to meet goals and commitments. Previously, Mr. Maida worked for five years as an asset manager for CommonBond Communities with a portfolio of over 5,500 affordable apartment units located in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Iowa. He earned a Master’s Degree in Urban and Regional Planning with a concentration in housing and community development from the University of Minnesota Humphrey School of Public Affairs and an undergraduate degree from the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee. Before graduate school, Mr. Maida spent four years working with Catholic Charities on an emergency shelter for teens in Minneapolis. SALLY RABBAN, PROJECT COORDINATOR Ms. Rabban has been actively involved in housing and community development since 2009. As project coordinator at CHDC, Ms. Rabban works with partners and funders to construct and rehabilitate affordable rental housing through the coordination of site acquisition, deal structuring and assembling financial applications. Before Ms. Rabban joined CHDC, she worked at Landon Group as housing development specialist for multi-family rental housing in Minnesota, served in AmeriCorps with Twin Cities Habitat for Humanity, and worked at Seward Redesign. Ms. Rabban has a Master’s Degree in Urban and Regional Planning from the Humphrey Institute with a concentration in housing and community development, and a Bachelor of Arts degree in Architecture and Geography from the University of Minnesota. BETSY MICHELS, PROJECT COORDINATOR Ms. Michels assists in development, asset management, and administrative work. Her duties include preparing funding applications, assisting throughout the development process, and daily clerical tasks. Ms. Michels is pursuing a Bachelor of Design in Architecture from the University of Minnesota. CHDC STAFF CHDC PROPERTIES Throughout Minnesota, CHDC owns 44 PROPERTIES 3,517 UNITS 1,793 SECTION 8 UNITS 1,975 LIHTC UNITS CHDC serves some of the lowest incomes and offers the lowest rents in the City of Minneapolis. In Minneapolis, CHDC provides homes for 4,379 people. The average household income is $20,946. In its Minneapolis Section 8 properties, the residents make approximately 20% area median income. In Minneapolis, CHDC owns 24 PROPERTIES 1,904 UNITS 683 SECTION 8 UNITS 974 LIHTC UNITS CITY ANOKA APPLE VALLEY BROOKLYN CENTER BUFFALO BURNSVILLE EDEN PRAIRIE FRIDLEY GOLDEN VALLEY HOPKINS HUTCHINSON LITTLE FALLS MAHTOMEDI MINNEAPOLIS PARK RAPIDS SAINT PAUL VADNAIS HEIGHTS UNITS 66 36 112 48 200 168 16 45 161 101 62 29 48 89 38 66 20 30 88 12 80 85 5 64 57 4 31 92 134 191 248 162 26 120 24 140 100 36 80 151 58 96 54 35 3,517 PROJECT Franklin Lane Haralson Unity Place Buffalo Court Chancellor Manor Prairie Meadows Brandes Place Cornerstone Creek Hopkins Village Raspberry Ridge Evergreen Willow Lincoln Place Albright Blue Goose Diamond Hill Echo Flats Elliot Park Evergreen Exodus Glenwood Higher Ground Jefferson LaSalle Morrison Village New Beginnings Oakland Square Olson Townhomes Park Plaza Riverside Homes Seven Corners Slater Square Talmage Green Trinity Apartments Trinity on Lake Veterans and Community Housing Veterans East Zinsmaster Woodland Court Dale Street Place Hamline Park Hanover Townhomes Ramsey Hill Vadnais Highlands TOTAL CHDC ProjectsProperty Albright Townhomes Diamond Hill Echo Flats Elliot Park Evergreen Exodus Glenwood Higher Ground Jefferson  LaSalle Morrison Village Olson Towne Homes Park Plaza Slater Square Talmage Green Trinity Apartments Trinity on Lake Veterans and Community Housing Veterans East Zinsmaster Oakland Square New Beginnings Dale Street Place Hamline Park Hanover Townhomes Ramsey Hill Franklin Lane Haralson Unity Place Buffalo Court Chancellor Manor Prairie Meadows Hopkins Village Raspberry Ridge Evergreen Willow Apartments Lincoln Place Woodland Court Vadnais Heights Brandes Place Cornerstone Creek Androy new State Street Park 7 Selby Milton Selby Ave & N Victoria St East Town CHDC and House of Charity have partnered to develop Park 7 in the Elliot Park neighborhood in downtown Minneapolis. Park 7 will provide 61 units of supportive housing for individuals experiencing long-term homelessness with chemical dependency and/or serious mental illness. House of Charity will provide services to all of the residents, including access to the House of Charity Food Centre. Construction is expected to start in early 2019. PARK 7 61 new units of affordable housing with services State Street Apartments is the adaptive reuse of the New Ulm Middle School, a historic structure built in 1918. State Street will provide 49 units of affordable housing for individuals and families. All units will be reserved for individuals and families with children who meet the Section 42 income restrictions, particularly tenants with household incomes ranging from 50 to 60% of Area Median Income. Rehab is expected to start in December of 2018. STATE STREET APARTMENTS 49 new units of workforce housing in New Ulm SOURCES OF FUNDING: City of Minneapolis AHTF - $1,525,000 Hennepin County AHIF - $400,000 SOURCES OF FUNDING: Syndication proceeds - $8,947,498 Federal historic proceeds - $2,232,167 Housing Infrastructure Bonds - $5,384,499 Sales tax and energy rebates - $253,784 State historic TC GP loan - $2,452,931 Sales tax and energy rebates - $310,323 Met Council TBRA/LHIA - $565,000 National HTF - $2,806,585 First mortgage - $675,000 GMHF deferred loan - $546,000 CREATING NEW AFFORDABLE UNITS IN MINNESOTA CREATING NEW AFFORDABLE UNITS IN MINNESOTA EAST TOWN APARTMENTS 169 units of new workforce housing in Downtown East, Minneapolis CHDC is partnering with First Covenant Church on the creation of 169 workforce housing units next to US Bank Stadium. East Town Apartments is directly adjacent to major downtown employers and within one block of the US Bank Stadium LRT Station and high frequency bus transit. The units will be reserved for those making 60% or less of the area median income, including 24 studios, 92 one-bedrooms, 47 two-bedrooms and 6 three-bedrooms. Construction is expected to start in December of 2018. OTHER 2018-2020 NEW CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS Selby Milton Victoria, Saint Paul - 34 units under construction SINCE 2015, CHDC created 100 units of affordable housing in Minneapolis (145 total) Veterans East - 100 units Cornerstone Creek - 45 units SOURCES OF FUNDING: First Mortgage - $14,300,000 Syndication Proceeds - $12,491,072 Hennepin County TOD - $330,000 Sales tax and energy rebates - $854,877 Parking take out loan - $3,500,000 Pohlad Foundation - $250,000 Brownfields - $250,000 GP loan - $3,681,588 PRESERVING HOUSING AFFORDABILITY IN MINNESOTA ALBRIGHT TOWNHOMES Albright Townhomes, a 100% project-based Section 8 project, is a 89-unit property located in South Minneapolis. In April 2018, Albright began renovation activities with a construction budget of nearly $75,000/unit. In addition to necessary upgrades to finishes and systems, CHDC is adding amenities that will improve residents’ lives and the Albright community. Albright Townhomes holds the first HAP contract issued in Minnesota. In the early 1990s, Albright was at risk of converting to market rate and the City of Minneapolis requested CHDC's help. Since, CHDC has worked to preserve Albright. Rehab is expected to be complete by the end of 2018. RIVERSIDE HOMES CHDC and West Bank Community Development Corporation are partnering to rehabilitate 191 units throughout Minneapolis’ Cedar-Riverside neighborhood. WBCDC's mission is to improve the quality of life in Cedar Riverside through community- based planning processes. CHDC provides insight into the preservation of affordable housing to further WBCDC's mission, while WBCDC gives insight into the community. Riverside Homes consists of 103 project- based Section 8 units. The remaining 88 units are affordable to households earning 60% AMI. Rehab began in November 2018. CHDC is dedicated to preserving its properties for the long term, through rehabilitation and strategic refinancing. Its self-sustaining business model allows CHDC to recapitalize its existing portfolio without the use of scarce gap resources.19THAVESCEDAR AVE S20TH AVE S21ST AVE S19TH AVSHI G H WA Y 5 5 25TH AVE S2NDSTS15TH AVE S27TH AVE S23RD AVE S26TH AVE S2 2 N D A V E S MINNEH16TH AVE S13TH AVE S24TH AVE SSTAVES24TH AVE SHI GHWAY 5 522ND AVE S19TH AVE S23RD AVE S28TH AVE S29TH AVE SE SE SE SE SVE S20TH AVE SE S26T19TH AVE S2700 925 133 255 731 1627 2200 4 1500 507 2414 709801 5 1300 2116 623 630 2015 1 501 1811 1417 616 628 1600 2200 1900 1525 818 717 1601 514 400 1309 2512 2020 101 1807 504 524 1800 606 2406 1406 300 2323 2424 1901 19 16 429 1901 1920 1500 419 1819 1921 1530 147 11 1615 2021 1500 711 6 1 1 2405 1816 701 511 1412 2500 620 815 1507 1825 7031342115 22001813 2601 1819 413 1816 21 1514 599 2024 416 1812 425404 15 707 245 1505608708 29 605181315042517 1905 405 1808 1809 1814 7021927 722 80815071918 427 1920 501 70621281 4 1 3 716 723 309 428 716 50118241506 607 528 811 800 523 5 25 712 3 2 2 6171417151721 1808629715 810 509 625701150721 1 2 519 711 2605 518 5241825 7131811305 71261718101917 721 814 717 1907 211961 9 28132001 2002 2216 19042016211371019222020192 6 614 52515092006 2011408 21065131814427 121141812212820082117142018262012612 602 252619151907271124520181829608 606 2627616 27012719709 7251821 191960221500 1813609 604 521 516 1900 1808191226111916212028071822212319011500 2916720 62418211826 2823191128192602601282970818251813 19162623260118162920180526177241920 26192428260926051924400 247 181818222 50015 1 6 329 23241808261320162315191418142530270718192514181527252831191026182729261426222608260426002717251625181916252221312731251025062112191219111906507 5202619190326302604260826162618180720192617262926152612261320221916242519142603181415271429Cedar-Riverside Riverside Homes buildings are highlighted in red. SINCE 2015, CHDC preserved 1,011 units of affordable housing Diamond Hill - 66 units Trinity Apartments - 120 units Prairie Meadows (Eden Prairie) - 168 units Hanover Townhomes (Saint Paul) - 96 units Hopkins Village (Hopkins) - 161 units Franklin Lane (Anoka) - 66 units Ramsey Hill (Saint Paul) - 54 units Albright (Minneapolis) - 89 units Riverside Homes (Minneapolis) - 191 units OLSON TOWNE HOMES Olson Towne Homes is a 100% project- based Section 8 property located in North Minneapolis, which provides 92 units of housing to families and individuals. In September 2019, CHDC will begin reconstructing the existing, failing units with new buildings with unit sizes suitable for larger families. The new plan, adjacent to the future Bottineau LRT station, increases density and frees up land for future phases of redevelopment. Funding commitments have been received from CPED's Metropolitan Council. OTHER 2018-2020 PRESERVATION PROJECTS Unity Place LaSalle Echo Flats Trinity on Lake Talmage Green New Beginnings Woodland Court Jefferson Zinsmaster Exodus UPCOMING LONG-TERM PRESERVATION OPPORTUNITIES LIMITED PARTNER EXITS 6 in Minneapolis (360 unit) 12 total (609 units) HAP CONTRACT EXPIRATIONS 7 in Minneapolis (493 units) 11 total (610 units) 614 North First Street, Suite 100 Minneapolis, Minnesota 55401 (612) 332-6264 VICINITY PLAN 175TH AVENUE NW TWI N L A K E S R O A D N W NOR TH S T AR M E TRO L IN E SITE TO ELK RIVER NORTHSTAR STATION TO HILLSIDE CITY PARK KLIEVER MARSH PARKCONCEPT PLANELK RIVER, MN / 05.18.2020 / 20-0009 CHDC Elk River 1 SITE PLAN PRELIMINARY CONCEPT 175TH AVENUE NW TWIN LAKES ROAD NWPHASE 1 PHASE 2 EXTERIOR PROGRAM TO INCLUDE: • Play Area • Ball Court • Community Gardens • Outdoor Amenity Patio with Grilling Stations • Pollenator Gardens • Rain Gardens • Walk-up Units CONCEPT PLANELK RIVER, MN / 05.18.2020 / 20-0009 CHDC Elk River 2 CORNER PERSPECTIVE PRELIMINARY CONCEPT PRECEDENT IMAGERYELK RIVER, MN / 05.18.2020 / 20-0009 CHDC Elk River 3 SOUTHERN APPROACH PRELIMINARY CONCEPT PRECEDENT IMAGERYELK RIVER, MN / 05.18.2020 / 20-0009 CHDC Elk River 4 ENTRANCE DRIVE PRELIMINARY CONCEPT PRECEDENT IMAGERYELK RIVER, MN / 05.18.2020 / 20-0009 CHDC Elk River 5 HOUSING AND REDEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY IN AND FOR THE CITY OF ELK RIVER RESOLUTION NO. 20-04 RESOLUTION EXPRESSING SUPPORT FOR THE PROPOSED USE OF TAX INCREMENT FINANCING FOR A PROJECT BY COMMUNITY HOUSING DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION WHEREAS, the Housing and Redevelopment Authority in and for the City of Elk River (the "HRA") and the City of Elk River, Minnesota (the "City") have received a request to assist an entity to be formed by Community Housing Development Corporation (the "Developer") with certain costs of construction of an approximately 55 unit multifamily rental housing development in the City of Elk River(the"Project"); and WHEREAS, the City engaged Maxfield Research and Consulting, LLC on February 15, 2018, to conduct a comprehensive housing market study update to our original study completed in December of 2015. The study projects housing demand from 2017-2025 and provides recommendations on the amount and type of housing that could be built in the City to satisfy demand from current and future residents through 2025. The study showed a demand for affordable rental housing in the City; and WHEREAS, a need has been identified for additional affordable housing within the City and that the proposed housing fills a need in the local housing market that currently has an unmet need; and WHEREAS, the success of the tax credit application is predicated on local support of the proposal; and WHEREAS, the Developer has requested that the HRA indicate its support of the use of tax increment for the Project; and WHEREAS, the Joint Finance Committee has reviewed the proposal and recommends that the Board of Commissioners support the use of tax increment for the Project. NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED, by the Board of Commissioners of the Housing and Redevelopment Authority in and for the City of Elk River that: 1. The Board of Commissioners supports the Project and the use of tax increment financing for the Project; provided, however, that authorization of tax increment financing for the Project is solely within the discretion of the Board of Commissioners following all legally required proceedings pursuant to Minnesota Statues 469.174 through 469.1794, as amended, including (i) a public hearing and approval by the City Council of the City; (ii) determining that tax increment financing assistance is necessary for the Project; (iii) verification of development financing need that substantiates that "but for" the use of tax increment financing the Project would be unable to proceed based on an analysis performed by the City's municipal advisor; and (iv) the negotiation of a development agreement including (among other things) the conditions under which the City or the HRA will provide financial assistance. 2. The Board of Commissioners supports the Developer's application to MHFA for tax credits for the Project. 3. The Board of Commissioners recommends that the City Council of the City adopt a resolution supporting the Developer's application to MHFA for tax credits for the Project and expressing support for providing tax increment financing assistance to the Developer for the Proj ect. Adopted by the Housing and Redevelopment Authority in and for the City of Elk River this 1St day of June, 2020. President ATTEST: Executive Director 2 City of Elk NM%- River May 18, 2020 Jennifer Ho, Commissioner Minnesota Housing Finance Agency 400 Wabasha St N UNIT 400, St Paul,MN 55102 Re: Housing Tax Credit Threshold Letter—Hillside Heights Apartments Dear Commissioner Ho: The City of Elk River City Council, at its meeting on May 18, 2020, reviewed and preliminarily endorsed Hillside Heights Apartments housing development proposal that proposes the new construction of approximately 55 affordable rental units in the City of Elk River near its Northstar Commuter Rail Station. This endorsement is based upon the findings that the project will meet locally identified housing needs and that the proposed housing is in short supply in the local housing market. This need is evidenced by the following sources: 1. A comprehensive housing market study update completed by Maxfield Research& Consulting for the City of Elk River in February 2018. The study projects housing demand from 2017 through 2025 and provides recommendations on the amount and type of housing that could be built in Elk River. Below is how this study aligns with the development of Hillside Heights Apartments: a. Hillside Heights Apartments is an alternative development concept containing 55 total units anticipated to serve 12 subsidized households,27 affordable families and 16 affordable senior active adults. b. The plan shows strong demand for rental housing (55 units) c. The following table summarizes how the development meets the identified needs: Hillside Heights Remaining Demand Apartments Demand Stud Reference Page 44 and Table Subsidized 34 12 22 CR-2 Page 44 and Table Affordable 35* 27 8 CR-2 Affordable Senior Active Page 46 and Table Adult 40 16 24 CR-2 *Note:60-unit Elk Rid ge Lodge netted out 13065 Orono Parkway Elk River,MN 55330 P D W E R E D D Y Phone:763.635.1000 INAWRE] www.EJkRiverMN.gov d. The 0%vacancy rates for affordable rental housing and senior housing at all levels indicate a pent-up demand for this type of housing. e. Additional demand for Hillside Heights Apartments will also likely come from outside Elk River in the larger submarket area. 2. The 171"Avenue Focused Area Study ("FAST"). The council approved plan outlines short- and long-term development and transportation goals for the 175th Avenue and Twin Lakes Road intersection—the development sitein the FAST Hillside Heights subarea including: a. Density at 26 units/acre. b. A variety of housing options. c. Attractive streetscape and pedestrian connection along Twin Lakes Road. d. Paths and crosswalk to the commuter rail station. 3. The City's current Comprehensive Plan supports the development of Hillside Heights Apartments in the following ways: a. Provides more housing type choices for the growing number of families in Elk River. b. Diversifies the housing types. c. Creates 55 units of housing for individuals and families at 50% of the area median income. d. Helps meet the demand of"the strong need to provide affordable housing for people of all ages." e. Provides stable, affordable senior housing for"the notable increase in apartment rental needs in Elk River by members of the baby boom generation." f. Provides approximately 55 units of housing within a half mile of the Northstar commuter rail station. 4. The market study completed by Market Analyst Professionals in April 2020 concludes sufficient demand for the development, and projects it will be well positioned in the local area. As stated above,The City of Elk River has confirmed that Hillside Heights Apartments contributes to the goals of development in the FAST Plan. The plan identifies specific geographic areas targeted for a variety of housing options including affordable housing and growth in Elk River, and the Hillside Heights Apartments site is in the Hillside Heights district as a priority target area. As part of its endorsement,the City also proposes local financial assistance using tax increment financing. The City of Elk River City Council preliminarily supports the allocation of$780,000 plus interest in tax increment financing for a term of up to 15 years for the Hillside Heights Apartments proposal. This assistance will be in the form of pay-as-you-go tax increment financing. The City Council endorsement is evidenced by the City Council's approval of Resolution 20-xx a copy of which is included with this letter. Sincerely, Mayor John Dietz