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INFORMATION #1 07-20-2009INFORMATION MEMORANDUM TO: Mayor and Council Members FROM: Tim Simon, Finance Director DATE: July 20, 2009 SUBJECT: Quarterly Investment Report (April-June, 2009) INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this report is to update the Ciry Council on the status of the various investments that the city maintains. This report is as of June 30, 2009. BACKGROUND: The City Council adopted the original policy on Apri128, 1998 with subsequent modifications on February 5, 2007. The policy generally follows the Government Finance Officers Association (GFOA) model and does comply with State Statutes. The investment goals for the City of Elk River are passive in nature due to the allowable investments permitted under State Statutes. The Ciry has four objectives for investing in order of importance. They are safety of principal, liquidity, return on investment, and maintaining the public trust. This means we are focused on not losing on the original investment, having sufficient funds on hand to meet ongoing operating cash needs, getting a market rate of return, and not purchasing speculative investments. State Statutes limit the City's ability to invest in many risky types of investments. The City does not purchase stocks or mutual funds. The City is generally limited to federal and state government obligations or agencies backed by them. The City can invest in short-term commercial paper (highly rated), Certificates of Deposit or money market accounts (with collateralization if in excess of FDIC insurance amounts), and the rated debt of local governments. The City intends to hold investments until maturity, which means we will get the rate of return for which we invest our funds. Our goal is not to extend our maturities beyond five years unless we are matching cash flow to a specific debt service payment. INFORMATION The City makes sure we are sufficiently liquid by continually updating our forecast on the anticipated cash flow needs over the next five year time horizon. We also build in a reserve balance incase of unexpected expenditures, these funds are maintained in money market accounts through the 4M Fund. We anticipate the fact that we will have two large tax settlements each year, along with the regularly scheduled debt service payments that occur each year. Over the past couple of months the search for quality has been the goal, thus we have avoided commercial paper for the last six months due to concerns over the credit quality issues that have existed. The markets have seen increased volatility in the bond markets and the yield curve has started to show signs of an upward- sloping shape which has meant long- term securities slighdy exceed returns on short-term instruments. This may also indicate that investors still prefer liquidity and will take a lower yield for short-term and secure investments. The City has to weight the opportunity cost to invest in longer term investments or ride the yield curve and reinvest at shorter maturity intervals. Most recent purchases have been Certificates of deposits which have a maturity of three to five years with reasonable interest rates. In addition, some callable bonds that could be called anywhere from three months to two years have been purchased, but if inflation starts and bond rates rise we may have to hold until maturity. We carefully consider these issues in our cash flow analysis model. Investing in shorter-term investments has presented far fewer options since the decline in commercial paper market. Treasury yields are still around historical lows and only a few basis points away from year-end yields. Three month notes are yielding 0.19% and the ten year notes is 3.53%. See graphical illustration below: http://www.ustreas.gov/offices/domestic- finance /debt-management/interest-rate /yield historical. shtml TreasuryYield Curve 5.00% __ _ _ _ -- ---7 -~ 4.50 % _ _ - _ __ -----._ ~:_ _ - -------------- --- 4.00°/ _.~ -- - - - 3.50 % __ - - -- --- _ _ _ 3.00 % _ ._._._- -- ----- - 2.50% - --- - '~ t 03/31 /2009 - ___ -- - _ , __ __ -- T 06/30/2009 2.00 % --- - - 1 .50 % -- -- --~ -~ ---------- - 1 .00% --- __ _ - - ----- r ~~=--+' 0.50% - ..~.~ ~-~~_._--_-._.~""~'~-..~ -- --- ---- 0.00% a- 1 m o. 3 m o. 6 m o. 1 yr. 2 yr. 3 yr. 5 yr. 7 yr. 1 Oyr. 30yr. Cities generally use a short horizon benchmark such as the two year Treasury Bill (6/30 - 1.11% up slightly from 0.81% at 3/31) or some similar measure. Our current portfolio yield is roughly 2.23%. This is calculated by taking the yield times the current value for each investment and dividing the resulting amount by the total portfolio value. As investments purchased in earlier years mature we will be able to replace them and lock into some longer term interest rates, but they may have to be reinvested at lower interest rates as market conditions change. It is very typical to lag the market as interest rates change. This will lead to more predictability in our interest earnings. INFORMATION Our primary reserve account is our 4M Fund which is a money market account that various cities pool their funds into. It currently yields .33% with daily withdrawal privileges. We are maintaining a higher liquidity position in order to reinvest at higher rates when the economy expands. The City strives to maintain a strong diversification portfolio so liquidity and exposure risk are reduced. The following is the summary of sector distribution, agency distribution, and interest rate distribution as of 6/30/09. Sector Distribution Interest Rate Distribution